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March 29, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

Spring Training Stats: Who’s Hot and Who’s Not for March 29

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Dee Gordon, SS, LA Dodgers

Hot

Dee Gordon:  .417/.491/.521, 6 BB/4 K in 54 PA, 10 SB, 2 CS

Gordon is picking up right where he left off in September.  Ten steals in seventeen games projects to just over 95 in 162.  He will not be on base as much in season as his .454 BABIP is insanely high.  Do not be surprised to see him among the league leaders though.

Zack Cozart:  .413/.449/.652, 8 K in 51 PA

Sometimes Dusty Baker needs a firm shove to play youngsters regularly but Cozart is giving him one.  Erase any concerns about playing time.  For more on Cozart as a sleeper read this.

Adam Wainwright:  1.45 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 9 K/6 BB in 18.2 IP

Wainwright’s results are better than his underlying numbers so far.  The good news is that he is being handled just as all the other Cardinal starters are.  He is a full year out from Tommy John surgery and as good a bet as there is for a pitcher returning from such a serious operation.

Mike Minor:  0.96 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 9 BB/13 K in 18.2 IP

Like Wainwright, Minor’s BB/K ratio does not support his low ERA.  His career xFIP is more than a run under his ERA, so perhaps luck is just evening out.  Believe in the skills he showed the last two seasons and keep him as a later round SP option.

Alex Liddi:  .429/.500/.714, 7 2B in 35 AB

Liddi could get playing time for Seattle soon, Chone Figgins in their regular third baseman after all.  Liddi has power but he struck out over 25% of the time in Double-A and Triple-A.  That is a large red flag and his bat may not transition well to the majors.

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Cold

Dexter Fowler:  .118/.151/.255, 16 K in 53 PA

Many are anticipating a breakout year for the Rockie but he is off to a very slow start.  All the bad signs are present:  poor plate discipline, little power, and a high GB/FB ratio.  Still, it is only a sixteen game sample.

Colby Rasmus:  .186/.280/.233, 11 K in 49 PA

Rasmus is in the same boat as Fowler, although he is at least walking some.  Toronto seems high on him, but they do have Rajai Davis available and Anthony Gose is closing fast.  This stretch has to be discouraging.

John Mayberry:  .191/.247/.250 4 xBH in 68 AB

His productive second half in 2011 gave him the inside track to start in 2012, and that is not yet in jeopardy.  In standard leagues he is a bench player, so keep him around and see if he hits better in the regular season.  Domonic Brown would be all to eager to take the LF job.

Daniel Bard:  7.23 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 13 BB/ 11 K in 18.2 IP

He is Boston’s assumed number four starter, but nothing has been announced.  Throughout this year, there will always be the possibility that he will be shifted back into relief.  If he cannot deal with uncertainty the results will continue to be inconsistent.

Ubaldo Jimenez:  6.27 ERA, 1.93 WHIP, 10 BB/13 K in 18.2 IP

He allowed six of his thirteen runs in one start, but take away that performance and his BB/K is still 6/9.  Since it is just Spring Training we do not know any more than we did at the end of last year.  If he can recapture the stuff of 2010 than he is a dominant pitcher.  He showed positive signs in his latest start.

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