March 11, 2013 posted by Paul Greco

Playing Time Position Battles: Rockies 1B, A’s 2B and Royals 2B

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Tyler Colvin, COL 1B

First Base:

ColoradoRockies: Tyler Colvin vs. Todd Helton

Relevancy: NL Only and if Colvin wins the job, 14-team mixed and larger.

The Scoop: How long can theRockies continue to ignore Todd Helton’s slowly declining skill set and increasing health problems? On the surface, Helton looks to have had an unlucky season, as he hit .238 with an xBA (expected batting average) of .277. Looking under the surface, we see a .175 AVG against lefties, and a .208 Road batting average. Those two things make sense as the first things to start to go in Helton’s skill set. Looking at Tyler Colvin who finally got a chance since his solid stint with the Cubs in 2010; its apparent there were some luck factors in the mix, with specific regard to his .290 batting average. A .360 BABIP inColorado is perfectly reasonable, but when you throw in a disastrous BB/K ratio of 0.18, skepticism levels are raised considerably. What’s real however, is the plus power and plus speed. Colvin’s got the upside worth speculating on in your drafts.

Projected playing time split/winner: Colvin 65% – Helton 35%

Second Base:

Kansas CityRoyals: Chris Getz vs. Johnny Giavotella vs. Elliot Johnson


The Scoop: Getz is the most fantasy relevant option in this recipe of potpourri. Getz improved to a 91% contact rate in 2012, most importantly though, he registered a 95% contact rate against righties. Despite an appalling 5% walk rate, that contact rate actually gives him a BB/K of greater than 1.00 against righties. He’s got the speed to steal 20 bags and hit .280. Elliot Johnson and Giavotella both aren’t threats to steal the job away from Getz, but will both see sporadic playing time against lefties, putting Getz in a partial platoon situation.

Projected playing time split/winner: Getz- 65% – Johnson/Giavotella 35%

Oakland Athletics: Jemile Weeks vs. Scott Sizemore

Relevancy: Potentially all leagues, for now deep mixed and AL-Only

The Scoop: Jemile Weeks is an extremely curious case. His production dipped across the board in 2012, ending with a demotion to AAA- Sacremento. However, he actually increased his walk rate 5% against both lefties and righties. More patience equals decreased results? It doesn’t make much sense. What does make sense however, has been the lagging of his stolen base success rate, which cuts into his best asset. With success rates in the last three years averaging out to 66%, it’s amazing that he still stole 30 bases in 2011. If that success rate improves and BABIP follows suit, Weeks could bounce back. His weak defense doesn’t help though.  Sizemore has an intriguing skill set because he’s got slightly above average power & speed, and contact skills that won’t obliterate your team average. Sizemore is an AL-Only play if he wins the job, but Weeks has mixed league potential.

Projected playing time split/winner: Weeks – (it might take Weeks a little while to win the job back, but when he is given the job back it’s likely to not be stripped from him)

Paul finished the 2011-2012 Fantasy Football season as the #1 Weekly Rankings & Projections winner of the 411Fantasy Expert Challenge. He also finished 2nd in the Expert Draft Accuracy Challenge in 2011. Top 10 Finisher in the FSWA Fantasy Football Draft Projections. Paul is also apart of baseballs elite as a member of Tout Wars. You can follow me on Twitter @PaulGreco

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