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July 3, 2012 posted by Paul Greco

Pitching Matchups to Watch for the Week of July 2nd

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Bud Norris, SP, Houston Astros

Jordan Lyles @ PIT (7/2) & v MIL (7/7) – Lyles was due for two starts last week, oops. The Pirates have been hitting a bit but I still pick on them. The Milwaukee start is a bit frightening. Scoop up two starts this week if your desperate in a 15-team league and definitely roll in NL-only.

Ubaldo Jimenez v LAA (7/2) & v TB (7/7) – Apparently all it took for Jimenez to get rolling was for me to drop him. His control still rots but the Ks look to be back. Nevertheless plan for a bit of a mixed bag and bank on WHIP damage. Start in 15-team or deeper formats, only maybe in shallower leagues.

Homer Bailey @ LAD (7/2) & @ SD (7/7) – He’s difficult to time and I’m not sure why. I suspect he’s perpetually on the verge of a shoulder injury which would reconcile his performance this season. Although these are two nice matchups it may not matter. Start in 15-team or deeper formats, wait for some consistency in shallower leagues.

Joe Kelly v COL (7/3) & v MIA (7/8) – I never heard of him until just now, but here’s what I got. He has two starts and at least the Rox aren’t in Coors. He has a big boy fastball that tickles 94 MPH, gets 46% groundballs and has a 2.75 K/BB rate. There are chinks in the armor (low K rate) but thus far the positives say he could be really good. No better than a maybe in 15-team leagues but one to watch really closely. He may justify considerable FAAB in NL-only leagues if he’s still available.

Zach McAllister v LAA (7/3) & v TB (7/8) – McAllister has a decent enough minor league track record to suggest there’s something here. I don’t love these matchups but they could be worse. Ultimately a start is justifiable because he has two of them and a nice K rate (8.22/9). Yes in AL-only but you need to be feeling very lucky to try him in something shallower.

Roy Oswalt @ CHW (7/3) & v MIN (7/8) – Expect fits and starts while Oswalt gets back in the groove. I really like the start against the Twins but I’m iffy about the Chisox. Definite start in 15-team and deeper formats.

Jake Arrieta @ SEA (7/4) – Arrieta looks checked back in and at Seattle is sweet. If you’re thin I might even roll him out in 12-team leagues.

Franklin Morales @ OAK (7/4) – Morales has been outstanding since joining the rotation. Check out the 24 Ks against 3 walks in 18 innings – that’s Cy Young stuff. I have little explanation, he should suck even worse right? Two of his three starts were against the Cubs and Seattle but hey the As suck too. I’d start him in 15-team leagues and think about grab ‘n stash elsewhere.

Bud Norris @ PIT (7/5) – He’s back and prior to the injury showed signs of being on a roll. A couple of good starts and he could become automatic. For now he’s a really nice spot start, maybe even in some 10-team leagues.

Ross Ohlendorf v CIN (7/6) -Ohlendorf is just good enough to be fantasy relevant from time to time. At home in San Diego are such occasions. Gold in NL-only this week and maybe if you need to get creative in deeper formats.

Paul finished the 2011-2012 Fantasy Football season as the #1 Weekly Rankings & Projections winner of the 411Fantasy Expert Challenge. He also finished 2nd in the FantasyPros.com Expert Draft Accuracy Challenge in 2011. Top 10 Finisher in the FSWA Fantasy Football Draft Projections. Paul is also apart of baseballs elite as a member of Tout Wars. You can follow me on Twitter @PaulGreco
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