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May 6, 2012 posted by Paul Greco

Pitching Matchups to Watch for the Week of May 7th

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Francisco Liriano, MIN

Thank god I don’t write about closers, there’s just not enough room on the internet let alone time in a day.

Jonathon Niese, @ PHL (5/7), & @ MIA (5/13) – He got whaled on by Houston last time out, which will scare off a ton of people. However, the Mets are better than anyone could have guessed, and Philly and Miami can’t hit. Philly in particular needs to be picked on for the time being. A must start in 12 teamers or deeper and a big maybe in 10-team leagues.

Brian Matusz, v TEX (5/7), & v TB (5/12) – A couple of solid starts and it would seem that the blue chip prospect may have found his mojo – small sample size caveats applied. Seattle and Los Angeles would make a two-start week a no-brainer test of that theory. Unfortunately the reality is  not Seattle and Los Angeles but Texas and Tampa Bay. Hey, at least he’s at home. A big roll of the dice in 12 team leagues and a must start in deeper formats.

Carlos Zambrano, @ HOU (5/7), & v NYM (5/13) – The underlying sabermetrics aren’t as friendly as the roto categories would suggest. Having said that, Houston stinks and on any given night so can the Mets. I love Big Z in 15-team or deeper formats, but find something nice and safe in Seattle or San Diego in shallower leagues.

Francisco Liriano, v LAA (5/7), & v TOR (5/12) – Don’t be stupid…don’t talk back.

Blake Beavan, v DET (5/7), & NYY (5/13) – No Ks but no walks either. Beavan doesn’t make his own problems. He may have his hands full with the matchups but I like him in 15-team or deeper formats – quite a bit actually.

Jake Arrieta, v TEX (5/8), &v TB (5/13) – Quietly on pace for 210+ Ks and a sub-1.00 WHIP. The matchups are rough but a breakout-in-progress would tend to trump competition. If he looks good this week he may become a card carrying member of the Ace Club. I love him in 12 teams or deeper and with some convincing might even be willing to take a shot in a 10 team format.

Jarrod Parker, v TOR (5/8), & v DET (5/13) – He has a big boy fastball and has displayed solid control for the past month. Call me a believer. This is one fringey pick I am recommending even in 10 team leagues.

Anthony Bass, v COL (5/9) – I’ll take Bass at home, and for the record the Rox aren’t the same outside of Coors. A nice spot start in 12 team or deeper and one to keep close tabs on in all formats.

Henderson Alvarez, @ MIN (5/10) – Not the sexiest of skill set but Alvarez brings great ratios. The Twins can’t hit and Target Field is big time pitcher friendly. In 10-team leagues it may be worthwhile to find someone capable of more Ks, but essentially he’s got the green light from me.

Kevin Correia, v WAS (5/10) – Hard to explain but hasn’t allowed more than two runs in a start yet. Must start in NL-only formats.

Vance Worley, v SD (5/11) – The Padres can’t hit a thing. Quentin might be back in time for this game, which is actually something to think about given how piss poor San Diego is hitting right now. Worley should be fine in all formats.

Chris Capuano, v COL (5/11) – He’s a lot better than most realize. Two TJs will tend to do that. He should be a quality starter all year and once again the Rox will be out of Coors. Start in 12 team and deeper leagues.

Paul finished the 2011-2012 Fantasy Football season as the #1 Weekly Rankings & Projections winner of the 411Fantasy Expert Challenge. He also finished 2nd in the FantasyPros.com Expert Draft Accuracy Challenge in 2011. Top 10 Finisher in the FSWA Fantasy Football Draft Projections. Paul is also apart of baseballs elite as a member of Tout Wars. You can follow me on Twitter @PaulGreco
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