Fantasy Football
August 1, 2012 posted by Paul Greco

Paul’s Personal Fantasy Football Picks : Gotta Haves QB

Paul’s Personal Fantasy Football Picks : Gotta Haves QB
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Tom Brady, New England Patriots

Each fantasy football season, we as “experts” sit down at our desk and try to figure out which NFL players will outperform another. I’d like to say that it’s easy, but it’s not.  For many of us “experts” we actually take the time to research the players so that we don’t look like dumb asses in front of a national audience.


I’ll be honest though; this season will be a lot easier than last year’s lock-out season. There is more stability, training camp and access to the teams than ever before. So that means tons and tons of facts to go through. Over the next several days I’ll provide you with my personal picks of players I have to have as well as players I’ll be dumping on for 2012. At the same time, I’ll be sparing you from me bragging about the number of words I have in each article. It’s just my thoughts on each player by position.


I start off this fantastical series of easy reading by taking a look at QBs I want on my team.  Each of these QBs can be had at different points in your draft, so if you are a RB-RB type of drafter you can snag one of the below in third round or better yet, later.  My point, I tickle your Elmo with a range of QBs you can have for you fantasy team.


Tom Brady – New England Patriots : First off, if you didn’t already know, I’m a huge New York Jets fan. That being said, if at any point Gisele Bundchen does not want to pleasure Brady, I have no problem stepping in, but only if he lands on my fantasy team(s).


The Patriots added a bona fide deep threat in Brandon Lloyd who comes over from the St. Louis Rams along with new, but old, OC Josh McDaniel. I don’t see Lloyd having Denver Bronco type numbers, where in 2012 he enjoyed a 1,448 yds receiving and 11 TD season, but if you take a look at how Randy Moss opened the field for Brady, I see a similar affect by Lloyd.  Add in the fact that the Patriots running game is obsolete, and I see Brady going for his first ever back-to-back 5,000 yd season.


Finally, I love the schedule of Patriots. There are only six teams that pose a threat to Brady defensively, which means a two TD, one INT type of weekend. Boo-who to the owners of Brady.  My Projection : 5,000+ YDS, 38TD, 12 INT.


Tony Romo – Dallas Cowboys : No one in the NFL gets dumped on more than Tony Romo for not winning in the playoffs, but who gives a crap; oh yeah Cowboys fans.  You as a fantasy football owner sure as hell don’t care and why would you. Minus his injury season of 2010, since 2007, Romo has been a Top 10 QB in fantasy football.  So far in mockdrafts, Romo’s ADP is 47, which is fourth RD material. To me that. Is. Awesome! You can bang out a RB-RB-WR in the first three rounds than focus on your QB here in the fourth; and you get to add a stud.


Romo comes into camp a leader, finally. He may be missing Dez Bryant in WK1, but he still has plenty of weapons surrounding him. With TE Jason Witten as his safety net, Miles Austin looking to bounce back from a craptastic 2011 season add in RB DeMarco Murray back from injury and Romo will be ready to once again help you dominate your fantasy football season. My Projection : 4,300+ YDS, 31 TD, 10 INT.


Matt Ryan – Atlanta Falcons : Out of my group of QBs to want to have on your team this season, Ryan to me provides the most upside. Since coming into the NFL in 2007, Ryan has enjoyed an increase in TDs each season. The main reason, the Falcons have surrounded him with weapons. Similar to Romo, Ryan enjoys a stud, RB in Michael Turner, a safety net TE in future Hall-of-Famer Tony Gonzalez, a second-year speed burner in Julio Jones and Mr. Reliable WR Roddy White.


The magic number I look at for Ryan in order to be super-exciting for fantasy owners in 2012, his number of attempts. If new OC Dirk Koetter, who joins the Falcons after leaving the Jacksonville Jaguars, can see that he actually has an elite QB, not Blaine Gabbert, and allows Ryan to throw the ball a minimum of 350, fantasy owners will see a QB who is now inside the Top 10 rather than just looking outside. My Projection : 4,000+ YDS, 27 TD, 12 INT.


Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers : Prior to becoming the HC of the Kansas City Chiefs, new OC Todd Haley enjoyed tremendous success as the OC of the Arizona Cardinals. During his two-years in Arizona the Cardinals averaged 26 pts-per-game and 351 QB fantasy pts. I mention those number because “Big Ben” has never scored more than 341 fantasy pts in a season.


At the time of this article WR Mike Wallace is still not at camp and if this continues it may hurt their timing for the beginning of the season, but I think Wallace gets signed in time and has a fantastical season. Along with Wallace at the WR position is the speed-burner Antonio Brown. To me, Brown stands to gain the most this season because of his vertical threat. Add in TE Heath Miller and RB replacement Isaac Redmen (Sleeper RB), and look for Roethlisberger to enjoy one of his best offensive seasons ever. My Projection : 4,300+ YDS, 30 TD, 12 INT.


Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos QB

Peyton Manning – Denver Broncos : I’ll start off by staying this, Peyton Manning will have a better season than lil’brother Eli. Shocked? Probably not, but there sure seems to be a lot of fantasy owners who are more than nervous to select Manning this year. Let me ask you this, if you thought Manning wasn’t healthy, why would the Broncos give him a five-year contract?  The dude has been adamant about his neck and the health and status of where he’s at so far this camp.  Every offensive player has been raving about the velocity on his ball, now that might not mean a lot coming from this group who had to endure a season of catching passes from Tim Tebow, but you get the point.


Obviously Manning makes the players around him more worthy of fantasy ownership this year, but let’s not forget where the four time MVP is coming from.  This guy is THE best at reading defenses, has his little underneath pitch and ditch partner in Eric Decker, he brings over one of his TE from Indianapolis, Jacob Tamme and has a great BIG deep threat in Demaryius Thomas. Just typing that I think I just made a mess in my pants.  Manning’s current ADP is 57, but watch as we get closer to the season and you get to watch him perform in preseason games, the number will be closer to 40. My Projection : 4,000+ YDS, 30 TD, 16 INT.

Paul finished the 2011-2012 Fantasy Football season as the #1 Weekly Rankings & Projections winner of the 411Fantasy Expert Challenge. He also finished 2nd in the Expert Draft Accuracy Challenge in 2011. Top 10 Finisher in the FSWA Fantasy Football Draft Projections. Paul is also apart of baseballs elite as a member of Tout Wars. You can follow me on Twitter @PaulGreco

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