We are now past the three-quarter mark of the fantasy football season. Certainly, the playoff push is making all owners very anxious.
As we approach Week 11, every roster move has to be calculative and well thought out. There is no time for making mistakes. The margin for error is incredibly small.
That all said, let’s dive into another round of starts and sits
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Russell Wilson: Seattle Seahawks
As one of the quarterbacks whose start/sit percentage fluctuates based on matchups, Wilson should again be a great play this week.
This week Wilson and the Seahawks take on the downtrodden Vikings, who have been getting gashed through the air. The Vikings allow 286 passing yards per game (29th in the NFL) and have given up 21 touchdowns via the pass (tied for the highest mark in the league).
With Percy Harvin likely back for this game and Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin and Jermaine Kearse playing well of late, Wilson should be able to thrive in this matchup.
Andre Ellington: Arizona Cardinals
When any running back faces the Jacksonville Jaguars, he’s usually an advisable start, and that’s certainly the case here with Ellington.
With him wrestling away the job from Rashard Mendenhall (who’s also a sleeper option this week) as lead back in Arizona, expect the Cardinals to give a healthy amount of touches to Ellington. The Jags allow up a league-worst 153 rushing yards per game while also yielding a league-high 14 touchdowns on the ground.
So, between his increasing role in the Cardinals’ offense and his matchup, Ellington makes for a great No.2 running back or flex play this week..
Chris Ivory: New York Jets
Granted he’s the lead back for the Jets this week, and there is no reason he shouldn’t be, Ivory could be a great running back option to lean on.
While Buffalo (the Jets’ Week 11 opponent) is stingy in allowing rushing scores, having given up just three (tied for fourth fewest in the league), they do allow a good chunk of yards on the ground. The Bills allow 117.3 rushing yards per game (22nd in the NFL).
Expect the Jets to rely on Ivory to wear down the Bills’ defense with a lot of carries, especially in the second half to perhaps grind clock late.
Percy Harvin: Seattle Seahawks
Although he is making his season debut, there is still a lot to like about Harvin this week, even if he is on a limited snap count.
First, Harvin has dazzling playmaking abilities that should not be ignored. With Marshawn Lynch carving it up the ground, Harvin will be a great weapon for Russell Wilson to exploit in the pass game.
Secondly, the matchup with Minnesota—his old team no less—is juicy (see above in the Wilson post for the numbers) considering the gaudy passing numbers they give up.
Mike Wallace: Miami Dolphins
Wallace is not exactly lighting it up in South Beach this year, but this is a week you may be able to trust the speedy receiver.
Wallace has nice matchup this week when the Dolphins host the Chargers. The Chargers give up roughly 280 passing yards (28th in the NFL) per game and have given up 14 touchdowns through the air.
While Wallace has, for the most part, disappointed this year, this could be a week he pays off big dividends.
Timothy Wright: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
While he had an awful game vs. Miami (one reception for 19 yards) on Monday night, Wright has been a trusted target for rookie quarterback Mike Glennon. One game should not deter fantasy players from going with Wright again this week.
This week Wright and the Bucs take on a disheartened Atlanta Falcons’ secondary that can be beat through the air. The Falcons allow 252 passing yards per game (25th in the league) and have given up 19 touchdowns in the air (tied for fourth most in the league).
Expect Glennon to have a good day with Wright being one of the prime beneficiaries.
Terrelle Pryor: Oakland Raiders
The good times might be coming to an end for Pryor and his status as a solid fantasy quarterback.
Pryor has been dreadful of late, throwing just one touchdown in his last four games while throwing eight interceptions in that same stretch.
Pryor does run well, but his knee is banged up at the moment and now he’ll face a tough Houston pass defense that allows just 167 passing yards per game (best in the NFL). So given the parameters, Pryor is an extremely risky play this week.
Fred Jackson/C.J. Spiller: Buffalo Bills
With a banged up receiving unit and a rookie quarterback (EJ Manuel) making his second start in six weeks, expect the Jets (Buffalo’s Week 11 opponent) to stack the box against the Bills and dare Manuel to beat the Jets in the air.
The Jets excel against the run. They are first in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (73.8) and both Jackson and Spiller should find little room to run in this affair.
Maurice Jones-Drew: Jacksonville Jaguars
MJD’s fantasy production has been quite erratic and if you’re expecting him to be productive this week, you could be barking up the wrong tree. Mind you, Jones-Drew has still yet to run for 100 yards rushing in a game this year.
Jones-Drew and the Jaguars will be going up a stout Cardinals front, as they limit the run pretty well. The Cardinals allow just 86.9 rushing yards per game and have allowed just four scores on the ground. With the Cardinals vulnerable against the pass, expect the Jags to rely more on their passing attack this week.
Aaron Dobson: New England Patriots
With Danny Amendola and Rob Gronkowski slowly but surely returning to full health, Dobson will likely take a backseat in the pecking order for targets in New England.
Dobson has been solid over the last couple of weeks (9 receptions for 190 yards and three touchdowns in his last two games) but between his role in the offense likely to diminish and his matchup (vs. Carolina) this week, he’s a guy you might want to have glued to your bench. Realize that the Panthers allow just 201 passing yards per game (tied for fourth fewest in the NFL) while giving up a league-low seven touchdowns via the pass.
Steve Smith: Carolina Panthers
Smith is yet another fringe fantasy option you have to play the matchups with.
This week may be hard for Smith to get going, as he and the Panthers will face off against the Patriots. If there is one thing the Patriots do well on defense, it is defending the pass.
The Patriots are giving up just 233 passing yards per game (tied for 9th in the NFL) and with Aqib Talib matched up on him, expect Smith to be limited in this affair.
Charles Clay: Miami Dolphins
After a solid start to the season, Clay has fallen on some hard times of late, as he has just 12 receptions for 80 yards and no touchdowns in his last three games.
Now he’s set to face a Chargers defense that is quite good at defending tight ends this year. They have allowed tight ends to accumulate just 25 receptions for 317 yards since Owen Daniels and Garret Graham went off against them in Week 1.
With the slump he finds himself in and the tough matchup ahead, Clay is prime sit candidate this week.
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