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June 6, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 6/6

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 6/6
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Welcome to our Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

And as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Wednesday, June 5th.

5 Good Nights

  • Carlos Gonzalez: 3-5, 3 R, 3 HR, 6 RBI
  • Troy Tulowitzki: 5-5,  3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Marlon Byrd: 2-4, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • R.A. Dickey: 8.1 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 5 Ks, W
  • Julio Teheran: 8.0 IP, H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 11 Ks, W

 

Honorable Mention: Mark Trumbo, Kyle Seager, Paul Goldschmidt, Cody Ransom, Brandon Moss, Xavier Paul, Brett Gardner, Matt Dominguez, Anthony Recker, Anthony Rizzo, Jose Bautista, Gordon Beckham, Nick Franklin, Nolan Arenado, Hisashi Iwakuma, Dillon Gee, Cole Hamels, Alex Cobb, Bartolo Colon, Jason Marquis, John Lackey, Jeremy Guthrie, P.J. Walters, Jacob Turner, Clayton Kershaw, Joe Kelly, Alexi Ogando, Dylan Axelrod

5 Bad Nights

  • Freddy Garcia: 3.0 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 2 Ks
  • Addison Reed: 3.0 IP, 5 H, 5 ER, BB, 5 Ks, W
  • Dan Haren: 4.0 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 2 Ks
  • Wilin Rosario: 0-5
  • Erick Aybar: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Cody Ross, Eric Young Jr., Daniel Nava, Jason Bay, Jason Vargas, Yovani Gallardo, Kevin Gregg, Barry Zito, Jon Garland, Corey Kluber, Matt Garza

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) is expected to return to the Marlins lineup on Monday.
  • Stephen Strasburg was officially placed on the 15-day DL with a sore lat muscle. As long as everything goes as planned, he’ll be eligible to return on June 15th.
  • Johnny Cueto was placed on the DL with soreness behind his pitching shoulder (for the second time this season) and Tony Cingrani will take his place in the rotation.
  • Jake Peavy will miss the next four-to-six weeks with a fractured rib and will be replaced in the rotation by Hector Santiago.
  • Mitch Moreland left last night’s game with a hamstring injury and while he’s currently listed as day-to-day, he did miss 31 games last year with a hamstring injury so this is something to monitor closely.
  • Wandy Rodriguez left last night’s start after a third of an inning with tightness in his forearm. The Pirates haven’t updated his status as of yet, but it looks like a stint on the DL is a very real possibility.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Max Scherzer vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Gio Gonzalez vs. New York Mets

Shelby Miller vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

3 Down

Zack Greinke vs. Atlanta Braves

Ian Kennedy at St. Louis Cardinals

Jon Lester vs. Texas Rangers

Throwing Darts

Dan Straily vs. Chicago White Sox

Jhoulys Chacin vs. San Diego Padres

Bud Norris vs. Baltimore Orioles

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Nelson Cruz is 10-for-19 with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jon Lester.
  • Adrian Gonzalez is 8-for-17 with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Tim Hudson.
  • Justin Upton is 5-for-9 with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Zack Greinke.

 

Misses
  • Ben Zobrist is hitless in 10 career at-bats against today’s starter, Max Scherzer.
  • David Freese is 1-for-10 in his career against today’s starter, Ian Kennedy.
  • Dustin Pedroia is 2-for-17 in his career against today’s starter, Derek Holland.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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