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May 8, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/8

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/8
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Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Tuesday, May 7th.

5 Good Nights

  • Shin-Soo Choo: 2-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Jose Altuve: 2-3, 2 R, HR, 2 RBI, 1 steal
  • Andrew McCutchen: 4-4, 2 R,  RBI, 1 steal
  • Matt  Harvey: 9.0 IP, H, 0 ER, 12 Ks
  • Zach McAllister: 7.2 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, BB, 4 K’s, W

 

Honorable Mention: Robbie Grossman, Ichiro Suzuki, Will Venable, Matt Wieters, Mark Trumbo, Paul Goldschmidt, Chris Carter, Chase Utley, Alex Gordon, Hector Santiago, Ryan Dempster, Kyle Kendrick, Hiroki Kuroda, Lance Lynn, Kris Medlen, Scott Diamond, Tommy Milone, Travis Wood, Eric Stults, C.J. Wilson, Wei-Yin Chen, Jorge De La Rosa, Roberto Hernandez, Wily Peralta, Jeanmar Gomez

5 Bad Nights

  • Justin Grimm: 5.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 7 Ks
  • Craig Kimbrel: 0.2 IP, 2 H, 2 ER, 2 K
  • Homer BAiley: 5.0 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 7 Ks
  • Miguel Montero: 0-5
  • Dominic Brown: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Jamey Carroll, Brandon League, Tim Lincecum, Alex Sanabia, Jordan Lyles

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • With Joel Hanrahan (forearm) and Andrew Bailey (biceps) both on the disabled list, Junichi Tazawa will assume the closer role for the Red Sox for the time being.
  • J.J. Putz left last night’s game with “elbow stiffness” and will be examined to determine the extent of his injury. Heath Bell will fill-in as closer in Putz’ absence, but David Hernandez and Matt Reynolds could figure into the equation as well.
  • Josh Reddick was placed on the 15-day DL with a wrist injury he suffered after colliding with the wall while chasing a foul ball last month.
  • Adam Eaton (elbow) has been struggling in a rehab stint at Triple-A Reno, but is still expected to join the Diamondbacks at the end of May.
  • Mark Ellis has been placed on the 15-day DL with a strained right quadriceps.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Clayton Kershaw vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Felix Hernandez at Pittsburgh Pirates

Matt Moore vs. Toronto Blue Jays

3 Down

Kyle Lohse vs. Texas Rangers

Mike Minor at Cincinnati Reds

A.J. Griffin at Cleveland Indians

Throwing Darts

Chris Tillman vs. Kansas City Royals

Allen Webster vs. Minnesota Twins

Jason Marquis vs. Miami Marlins

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Chase Utley is 7-for-17 (.412) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Barry Zito.
  • Yoenis Cespedes is 4-for-8 (.500) in his career against today’s starter, Justin Masterson.
  • Lance Berkman is 9-for-31 (.290) with four home runs in his career against today’s starter, Kyle Lohse.
  • Ben Zobrist is 9-for-30 (.300) with two home runs his career against today’s starter, Ricky Romero.

 

Misses
  • Paul Goldschmidt is 1-for-14 (.071) in his career against today’s starter, Clayton Kershaw.
  • Alfonso Soriano is 3-for-30 (.100) in his career against today’s starter, Jake Westbrook.
  • Adrian Beltre is 1-for-9 (.111) in his career against today’s starter, Kyle Lohse.
  • David Wright is 2-for-13 (.143) in his career against today’s starter, Jake Peavy.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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