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May 7, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/7

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/7
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Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Monday, May 7th.

5 Good Nights

  • Andrelton Simmons: 3-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Asdrubal Cabrera: 2-4, 3 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Everth Cabrera: 1-2, 2 R,  RBI, 2 steals
  • James Shields: 8.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 9 Ks
  • Scott Feldman: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, BB, 3 K’s, W

 

Honorable Mention: Stephen Drew, Evan Longoria, Anthony Rizzo, Paul Goldschmidt, Starlin Castro, Hunter Pence, Andrew Cashner, Cliff Lee, Chris Sale, Trevor Cahill, Paul Maholm, Ubaldo Jimenez

5 Bad Nights

  • Mark Buehrle: 6.0 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, 2 BB, 5 Ks
  • Fernando Rodney: 1.1 IP, H, 2 ER, 2 BB, K
  • Chris Capuano: 4.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 2 Ks
  • Paul Konerko: 0-5
  • Alejandro De Aza: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Alcides Escobar, Nick Tepesch, Madison Bumgarner, Bronson Arroyo, Jarrod Parker, Clay Buchholz, Vance Worley, Wade LeBlanc, Jeremy Hellickson

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • A day after Andrew Bailey was placed on the disabled list, Joel Hanrahan left the Red Sox game last night with tightness in his forearm. There is a very good chance that Hanrahan will join Bailey on the DL and Koji Uehara (and perhaps Junichi Tazawa) look to get the save opportunities in the meantime.
  • Roy Halladay has officially been placed on the 15-day DL with inflammation in his throwing shoulder.  He’ll visit Dr. Lewis Yocum today to find out more, but this may not end well.
  • Gavin Floyd will undergo season-ending surgery today and will likely miss at least a year.
  • Johnny Cueto (lat) threw another bullpen session yesterday and is could begin a rehab assignment shortly. The Reds have said he may only need one rehab start, so fantasy owners may have the Reds’ ace back in their lineups sooner rather than later.
  • Mark Teixeira (wrist) has been hitting off a tee and is now targeting an early June return to the Yankees.
  • Dayan Viciedo (oblique) began a rehab assignment and could be activated later this week.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Matt Harvey vs. Chicago White Sox

Lance Lynn at Chicago Cubs

Jordan Zimmerman vs. Detroit Tigers

3 Down

Kris Medlen at Cincinnati Reds

Hiroki Kuroda at Colorado Rockies

Tommy Milone at Cleveland Indians

Throwing Darts

Eric Stults vs. Miami Marlins

Hector Santiago  at New York Mets

Travis Wood vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Russell Martin is 6-for-13 (.462) his career against today’s starter, Aaron Harang.
  • Carlos Gonzalez is 6-for-15 (.400) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Hiroki Kuroda.
  • Small sample-size, but Anthony Rizzo is 3-for-5 (.600) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Lance Lynn.
  • Matt Holliday is 6-for-18 (.333) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Travis Wood.

 

Misses
  • Matt Wieters is 1-for-11 (.091) in his career against today’s starter, Ervin Santana.
  • Josh Willingham is 1-for-12 (.083) in his career against today’s starter, Ryan Dempster.
  • Dan Uggla is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career against today’s starter, Homer Bailey.
  • Chase Utley is 5-for-30 (.167) in his career against today’s starter, Tim Lincecum.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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