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May 6, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/6

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/6
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Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, May 6th.

5 Good Nights

  • Justin Ruggiano: 2-3, 4 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 1 steal
  • Andy Dirks: 4-4, 3 R, HR, 2 RBI
  • Adeiny Hechavarrai: 2-4, R, HR, 7 RBI
  • Justin Verlander: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 9 Ks, W
  • Kevin Slowey: 7.0 IP, 2 H, ER, 2 BB, 7 K’s, W

 

Honorable Mention: Mike Trout, David Ross, Marcell Ozuna, Mark DeRosa, Matt Holliday, James Loney, Prince Fielder, Hunter Pence, Allen Craig, Tyler Moore, Freddie Freeman, Reed Johnson, Danny Espinosa, Yu Darvish, Matt Cain, Jaime Garcia, Tim Hudson, Edinson Volquez, Wade Davis, Mike Pelfrey, Gio Gonzalez

5 Bad Nights

  • Roy Halladay: 2.1 IP, 4 H, 9 ER, 4 BB, 4 Ks
  • Marco Estrada: 3.1 IP, 6 H, 8 ER, 5 BB, 5 Ks
  • Jonathon Niese: 4.0 IP, 7 H, 7 ER, 6 BB, 3 Ks
  • Jacoby Ellsbury: 0-5
  • Dexter Fowler: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Miguel Olivo, Nick Punto, Ruben Tejada, Chris Valaika, Eric Hosmer, John Axford, Addison Reed, Philip Humber, Joe Saunders, Jerome Williams, Ian Kennedy, Edwin Jackson, Jhoulys Chacin, Jason Hammel, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Andy Pettitte, Mat Latos, Jose Quintana, Dan Straily

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Roy Halladay is experienced shoulder discomfort and is headed to Los Angeles for tests. Hallady will likely be placed on the 15-day DL, but this situation has the potential to last a lot longer than 15 days.
  • In case you missed it over the weekend, Hanley Ramirez returned to the disabled list with a hamstring injury and Dee Gordon was recalled to join the Dodgers’ roster. If he can get on base regularly (a big if), Gordon will be a good source of steals for fantasy owners.
  • Matt Garza will make his second rehab start for Triple-A Iowa today and looks to be on pace to return to the Cubs within the next two week.
  • There is no set timetable, but it’s looking like Curtis Granderson (forearm) will return to the Yankees lineup with in the next two weeks.
  • Jake Peavy will miss his second-straight start today as he continues to battle through back spasms. A DL stint hasn’t been ruled out, but the White Sox are hoping he’ll only miss one more start.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Madison Bumgarner vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Cliff Lee at San Francisco Giants

Clay Buchholz vs. Minnesota Twins

3 Down

Paul Maholm at Cincinnati Reds

Trevor Cahill at. Los Angeles Dodgers

Vance Worley at Boston Red Sox

Throwing Darts

Andrew Cashner at Miami Marlins

Nick Tepesch  at Chicago Cubs

Mark Buehrle at Tampa Bay Rays

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Alexei Ramirez is 11-for-26 (.423) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, James Shields.
  • Brandon Phillips is 18-for-51 (.353) with four home runs in his career against today’s starter, Paul Maholm.
  • Brian McCann is 9-for-18 (.500) with four home runs in his career against today’s starter, Bronson Arroyo.
  • Paul Goldschmidt is 9-for-12 (.750) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Chris Capuano.
  • Billy Butler is 8-for-25 (.320) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Chris Sale.
  • Justin Morneau is 7-for-14 (.500) in his career against today’s starter, Clay Buchholz.
  • Alcides Escobar is 12-for-27 (.444) in his career against today’s starter, Chris Sale.

 

Misses
  • Martin Prado is 1-for-15 (.067) in his career against today’s starter, Chris Capuano.
  • Joey Votto is 3-for-22 (.136) in his career against today’s starter, Paul Maholm.
  • Pablo Sandoval is 2-for-12 (.167) in his career against today’s starter, Cliff Lee.
  • Jay Bruce is 2-for-15 (.133) in his career against today’s starter, Paul Maholm.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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