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May 29, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/29

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/29
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Welcome to our Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

And as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Tuesday, May 28th.

5 Good Nights

  • Adam LaRoche: 2-3, 3 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Brian McCann: 2-5,  2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Matt Carpenter: 2-3, 2 R, HR, RBI, 1 steal
  • Hyun-Jin Ryu: 9.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 7 Ks, W
  • Rick Porcello: 8.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, BB, 11 Ks

 

Honorable Mention: Neil Walker, Chris Coghlan, Jose Bautista, Marcell Ozuna, Jean Segura, Desmond Jennings,  Matt Harvey, Cliff Lee, Ryan Dempster, Edinson Volquez, Hiroki Kuroda, Jorge De La Rosa, Jeanmar Gomez, Tyler Lyons, Jordan Lyles, Mat Latos

5 Bad Nights

  • Kevin Gausman: 4.0 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, BB
  • Michael Kickham: 2.1 IP, 4 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 3 Ks
  • Mariano Rivera: 0.0 IP, 3 H, ER
  • Joe Mauer: 0-5
  • Asdrubal Cabrera: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Juan Pierre, Reed Johnson, Jamey Carroll, James Loney, Yuniesky Betancourt, Starling Marte, Andy Dirks, Rickie Weeks, Norichika Aoki, Jose Veras, Grant Balfour, Glen Perkins, Brandon Morrow, Jeremy Hellickson, Brandon Maurer, Scott Diamond, Paul Maholm, Kevin Slowey, Alfredo Figaro, Nathan Karns, Zach McAllister

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Brett Lawrie has been placed on the 15-day disabled list with an ankle injury. He is eligible to return on June 12th, which looks like a very real possibility right now.
  • Jered Weaver (elbow) has been activated from the disabled list and will start against the Dodgers today.
  • Jayson Werth (hamstring) is set to begin a rehab assignment with Single-A Potomac and should be back with the Nationals at some point next week.
  • Josh Reddick (wrist) is continuing his rehab assignment at Triple-A Sacramento and should be back with the A’s for their game against Chicago on Friday.
  • Kyuji Fujikawa will require Tommy John surgery on his pitching arm and will miss the rest of the season. Kevin Gregg‘s job as closer just got all that much more secure (unless the Cubs decide to turn into sellers).

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Anibal Sanchez at Pittsburgh Pirates

Lance Lynn vs. Kansas City Royals

Jordan Zimmerman at Baltimore Orioles

3 Down

Brandon McCarthy at Texas Rangers

Erik Bedard at Colorado Rockies

Kyle Kendrick vs. Boston Red Sox

Throwing Darts

David Phelps vs. New York Mets

John Danks vs. Chicago Cubs

Joe Saunders at San Diego Padres

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Albert Pujols is 21-for-38 (.553) with five home runs in his career against today’s starter, Chris Capuano.
  • Adrian Beltre is 13-for-31 (.419) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Brandon McCarthy.
  • Michael Young is 33-for-93 (.355) with two home runs and 16 RBI in his career against today’s starter, John Lackey.

 

Misses
  • Elvis Andrus is 3-for-18 (.167) in his career against today’s starter, Brandon McCarthy.
  • Nelson Cruz is 1-for-17 (.059) in his career against today’s starter, Brandon McCarthy.
  • Neil Walker is 1-for-11 (.091) in his career against today’s starter, Anibal Sanchez.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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