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May 28, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/28

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/28
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Welcome to our Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

And as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Tuesday, May 27th.

5 Good Nights

  • Kelly Johnson: 4-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 1 steal
  • Carlos Gomez: 2-3,  2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Yadier Molina: 2-2, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Jeff Samardzija: 9.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 8 K’s, W
  • Aaron Harang: 9.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 8 K’s, W

 

Honorable Mention: Andrew McCutchen, Jose Altuve, Jhonny Peralta, Mike Morse, Didi Gregorius, Adrian Gonzalez, Wil Nieves, Joe Mauer, Prince Fielder, Ben Zobrist, Evan Gattis, Alfonso Soriano, Justin Verlander, Yu Darvish, Jason Hammel, Mike Leake, Ubaldo Jimenez, Phil Hughes, Jonathon Niese, Bud Norris, Jhoulys Chacin, Mark Buehrle, Tyler Skaggs, Alfredo Aceves, Dan Straily

5 Bad Nights

  • Jake Odorizzi: 4.0 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, BB, 2 Ks
  • Tyler Cloyd: 2.1 IP, 9 H, 6 ER, BB, 2 Ks
  • C.J. Wilson: 4.2 IP, 9 H, 6 ER, 4 Ks
  • Matt Kemp: 0-5
  • Michael Young: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Craig Genry, Mitch Moreland, Jordan Pacheco, Daniel Nava, J.D. Martinez, Matt Adams, Robbie Grossman, Cory Rasmus, Tim Hudson, Jose Fernandez, James Shields, Zack Greinke, Clayton Richard, Francisco Liriano, Gio Gonzalez, Jose Quintana

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Hanley Ramirez (hamstring) has begun running and is in the last stages of getting ready for a rehab stint. Don Mattingly has said he’d like to see Ramirez play four or five rehab games, so it looks like Hanley may be back in the Dodgers lineup during the first week of June as long as everything goes as planned.
  • Bryce Harper (knee) is not in tonight’s lineup, but his injury is not expected to require a trip to the disabled list.
  • With Chris Perez hitting the DL with a shoulder injury, Vinnie Pestano (and maybe Joe Smith and Cody Allen) should see some save chances over the next couple weeks.
  • With Nick Franklin being called up to man second base for the Mariners, Dustin Ackley has been sent down to Triple-A.
  • This is still up in the air, but the Cardinals are considering calling up prospect Michael Wacha for a start against the Royals on Thursday.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Chris Sale vs. Chicago Cubs

Matt Harvey vs. New York Yankees

Mat Latos vs. Cleveland Indians

3 Down

Brandon Morrow vs. Atlanta Braves

Edwin Jackson at Chicago White Sox

Edinson Volquez at Seattle Mariners

Throwing Darts

Kevin Gausman at Washington Nationals

Jorge De La Rosa at Houston Astros

Tyler Lyons at Kansas City Royals

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Andre Ethier is 7-for-17 (.412) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Joe Blanton.
  • Miguel Cabrera is 5-for-13 (.385) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jeanmar Gomez.
  • Adrian Gonzalez is 7-for-19 (.368) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Joe Blanton.

 

Misses
  • Alexei Ramirez is hitless in 17 career at-bats against today’s starter, Edwin Jackson.
  • Paul Konerko is 1-for-12 (.083) in his career against today’s starter, Edwin Jackson.
  • Jacoby Ellsbury is 1-for-12 (.083) in his career against today’s starter, Cliff Lee.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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