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May 24, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/24

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/24
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Welcome to our Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

And as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Thursday, May 23rd.

5 Good Nights

  • Josh Willingham: 2-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Mike Trout: 2-4,  2 R, HR, RBI, 1 steal
  • Andrew McCutchen: 3-4, R, 2 RBI, 2 steals
  • Miguel Cabrera: 2-3, 2 R, HR, 3 RBI
  • J.P. Arencibia: 2-5, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI

 

Honorable Mention: David Ortiz, Edwin Encarnacion, Mark Reynolds, Drew Stubbs, Carlos Santana

5 Bad Nights

  • Ryan Dempster: 3.0 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 4 Ks
  • Ernesto Frieri: 0.2 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, BB, K
  • Edwin Jackson: 3.0 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, BB, 6 Ks
  • Josh Hamilton: 0-4
  • Matt Wieters: 0-4

 

Dishonorable Mention: Rick Porcello, Brandon Morrow, Kevin Gausman, Ervin Santana, Zach McAllister

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Reports are circulating that Zack Wheeler will make two or three more starts at Triple-A Las Vegas before being called up to join the Mets. He’s probably gone in any keeper leagues, but he’s worth taking a flier on in re-draft leagues too if you have an extra spot.
  • Robert Coello picked up the one-out save for the Angels last night after Ernesto Frieri struggled to close the door. With Ryan Madson being shut down after experiencing elbow pain, Frieri should still have some job stability here, but this is still something to keep an eye on.
  • John Danks (elbow) will return to the White Sox today to start against the Miami Marlins.
  • In case you missed it the other day, Jesus Montero and Josh Rutledge have both been sent down to the minors. No reason to hang onto either unless you’re in a deep league with deep rosters.
  • Speaking of being sent down, Ike Davis will reportedly be with the Mets through their weekend series again the Braves, but his leash is reportedly VERY short at this point.
  • Adam Eaton is experiencing discomfort in the elbow that has kept him out all season and it looks like there’s a good chance we may not see Arizona’s top prospect this season.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Lance Lynn at Los Angeles Dodgers

Jordan Zimmerman vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Tommy Milone at Houston Astros

3 Down

John Lackey vs. Cleveland Indians

Tim Lincecum vs. Colorado Rockies

A.J. Burnett at Milwaukee Brewers

Throwing Darts

Brandon McCarthy vs. San Diego Padres

John Danks vs. Miami Marlins

Jeanmar Gomez vs. Chicago Cubs

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Curtis Granderson is 17-for-39 (.436) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Roberto Hernandez.
  • Billy Butler is 8-for-16 (.500) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jason Vargas.
  • Ian Desmond is 10-for-23 (.435) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Kyle Kendrick.

 

Misses
  • David Wright is 2-for-16 (.125) in his career against today’s starter, Kris Medlen.
  • Coco Crisp is 1-for-15 (.067) in his career against today’s starter, Erik Bedard.
  • Alcides Escobar is 1-for-12 (.083) in his career against today’s starter, Jason Vargas.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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