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May 23, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/23

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/23
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Welcome to our Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

And as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Wednesday, May 22nd.

5 Good Nights

  • Jose Bautista: 4-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Chris Davis: 4-4,  2 R, HR, 2 RBI
  • Evan Gattis: 1-3, R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Cliff Lee: 9.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 5 Ks, W
  • C.J. Wilson: 8.0 IP, 6 H, ER, 2 BB, 10 Ks, W

 

Honorable Mention: Miguel Cabrera, Matt Wieters, Michael Brantley, Joey Votto, David Ortiz, Carl Crawford, Curtis Granderson, Daniel Murphy, Paul Maholm, Jeremy Hellickson, Gio Gonzalez, Francisco Liriano, Hyun-Jin Ryu, James Shields, Mark Buehrle, Clay Buchholz, Jeff Samardzija, Madison Bumgarner, Jason Hammel, Tyler Lyons, Jordan Lyles, Jorge De La Rosa, Tim Stauffer, Ross Wolf, Kevin Slowey

5 Bad Nights

  • Bobby Parnell: 1.0 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 2 BB
  • Hiroki Kuroda: 2.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER
  • Brandon Maurer: 3.0 IP, 11 H, 7 ER, 2 BB, 2 Ks
  • Adrian Gonzalez: 0-5
  • Jason Kipnis: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Jason Giambi, Jason Bay, Eduardo Escobar, Michael Young, Burch Smith, David Huff, Wily Peralta, Vance Worley, Edward Mujica, Wade LeBlanc, Ubaldo Jimenez, Justin Verlander, Trevor Cahill, Matt Harvey, Mat Latos

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • With Rafael Betancourt dealing with a groin injury, Rex Brothers assumed the closer role for the Rockies last night and picked up his first save of the season. Betancourt will reportedly avoid the DL, so Brothers doesn’t look like a long-term pick up unless things change.
  • Mark Melancon picked up the save for the Pirates last night, but only because Jason Grilli needed a day of rest. Nothing to see here
  • Fernando Rodney blew yet another save yesterday and was replaced by Joel Peralta. Joe Maddon hasn’t said anything definitive about Rodney’s role as of yet, but it would be smart to pick up Peralta if you have a spot.
  • Jered Weaver finished up his extended spring training rehab and will likely join the Angels next week.
  • Chris Sale was scratched from his start yesterday due to mild tendinitis and won’t return to the mound until early next week.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Ervin Santana vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Dempster vs. Cleveland Indians

Brandon Morrow vs. Baltimore Orioles

3 Down

Zach McAllister at Boston Red Sox

Scott Diamond at Detroit Tigers

Joe Blanton at Kansas City Royals

Throwing Darts

Kevin Gausman at Toronto Blue Jays

Rick Porcello vs. Minnesota Twins

Jeanmar Gomez vs. Chicago Cubs

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Adam Jones is 12-for-31 (.387) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Brandon Morrow.
  • Miguel Cabrera is 8-for-16 (.500) in his career against today’s starter, Scott Diamond.
  • Josh Willingham is 6-for-10 (.600) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Rick Porcello.

 

Misses
  • Chris Davis is 2-for-14 (.143) in his career against today’s starter, Brandon Morrow.
  • Matt Wieters is 2-for-18 (.111) in his career against today’s starter, Brandon Morrow
  • Prince Fielder is 1-for-11 (.091) in his career against today’s starter, Scott Diamond.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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