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May 22, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/22

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/22
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Welcome to our Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

And as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Tuesday, May 21st.

5 Good Nights

  • Mike Trout: 4-5, 2 R, HR, 5 RBI, 1 steal
  • Chris Dickerson: 3-4,  2 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Daniel Descalso: 3-3, 3 R, HR, 5 RBI
  • Jerome Williams: 8.0 IP, 6 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 6 Ks, W
  • Dan Straily: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 5 Ks, W

 

Honorable Mention: Elliot Johnson, Travis Snider, Ryan Howard, Jimmy Paredes, Darwin Barney, Brian McCann, Max Scherzer, Adam Wainwright, Matt Cain, Miguel Gonzalez, Mike Leake, Stephen Strasburg, Yu Darvish, Jonathon Niese, Bud Norris, Alex Cobb, Tyler Cloyd, Jose Quintana, Felix Doubront, Matt Garza, Jose Fernandez

5 Bad Nights

  • Zack Greinke: 4.0 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, K
  • Aaron Harang: 3.2 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, 4 Ks
  • Edinson Volquez: 6.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, BB, 5 Ks
  • Dexter Fowler: 0-5
  • Anthony Rizzo: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Jamey Carroll, Derrick Robinson, Charlie Blackmon, Aaron Hicks, Didi Gregorius, Andrelton Simmons, Jose Altuve, Glen Perkins, Jason Grilli, Rafael Soriano

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Andrew McCutchen hasn’t played since Saturday with a knee injury, but it sounds as if his injury isn’t serious and won’t require a trip to the DL so his owners can plan for a return to the lineup shortly.
  • Ryan Howard also hasn’t played since Saturday with a knee injury, but it’s starting to sound like he may require a trip to the DL. Be prepared.
  • Kevin Gausman is expected to be been called up by the Baltimore Orioles and will likely start tomorrow against the Toronto Blue Jays.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Justin Verlander at Cleveland Indians

Gio Gonzalez at San Francisco Giants

Cliff Lee at Miami Marlins

3 Down

Jarrod Parker at Texas Rangers

Trevor Cahill at Colorado Rockies

Jeremy Hellickson at Toronto Blue Jays

Throwing Darts

Hector Santiago vs. Boston Red Sox

Francisco Liriano vs. Chicago Cubs

Jorge De La Rosa vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Evan Longoria is 6-for-18 (.333) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Mark Buehrle.
  • Vernon Wells is 5-for-14 (.357) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jason Hammel.
  • Robinson Cano is 10-for-26 (.385) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Jason Hammel.

 

Misses
  • Nelson Cruz is hitless in nine career at-bats against today’s starter, Jarrod Parker.
  • Nate McClouth is 2-for-20 (.100) in his career against today’s starter, Hiroki Kuroda.
  • Adrubal Cabrera is 8-for-47 (.170) in his career against today’s starter, Justin Verlander.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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