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May 2, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/2

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/2
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Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Wednesday, May 1st.

5 Good Nights

  • Mike Napoli: 3-4, 3 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Hunter Pence: 2-4, 2 R, HR, RBI, 1 steal
  • Chase Headley: 2-4, 2 R, HR, RBI, 1 stealI
  • Jordan Zimmerman: 8.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 8 Ks, W
  • Clay Buchholz: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 8 K’s, W

 

Honorable Mention: Ryan Raburn, Hanley Ramirez, Michael Saunders, Brett Gardner, Kendrys Morales, Pedro Florimon, Cliff Pennington, Brandon Belt, Jordany Valdespin, Angel Pagan, David Wright, Luke Scott, Howie Kendrick, Scott Feldman, Paul Maholm, Lance Lynn, Hiram Burgos, Aaron Harang, Chris Sale, Trevor Bauer, Scott Diamond

5 Bad Nights

  • Wei-Yin Chen: 4.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 6 Ks
  • Kenley Jansen: 0.0 IP, 2 H, 2 ER
  • Josh Beckett: 4.0 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 6 Ks
  • Seth Smith: 0-5
  • Wilin Rosario: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Jon Axford, Bruce Rondon, David Hernandez, Heath Bell, Luis Mendoza, Erik Bedard, Justin Germano, Tim Lincecum, Andrew Cashner, David Phelps, Jeremy Hellickson, Dillon Gee, Mark Buehrle, Homer Bailey, Juan Nicasio, Nick Tepesch, Wade LeBlanc, Cliff Lee, Brandon McCarthy, Tommy Milone

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Bryce Harper left last night’s game after hurting his side during an attempt to save a home run off Tim Hudson‘s bat (yep, that Tim Hudson). He seems to have escaped any major injury thought and is currently listed as day-to-day.
  • Coco Crisp has been placed on the 15-day DL with a strained hamstring, which should open up at-bats for Chris Young and Seth Smith.
  • Brett Anderson was placed on the 15-day DL with a sprained ankle and will be replaced in the rotation by Dan Straily.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Kris Medlen vs. Washington Nationals

Ryan Dempster at Toronto Blue Jays

Ervin Santana vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3 Down

Dan Haren at Atlanta Braves

Jake Peavy at Texas Rangers

Josh Johnson vs. Boston Red Sox

Throwing Darts

Kyle Kendrick vs. Miami Marlins

Justin Grimm vs.  Chicago White Sox

Travis Wood vs. San Diego Padres

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • B.J. Upton is 10-for-31 (.323) with five home runs in his career against today’s starter, Dan Haren.
  • Ryan Braun is 10-for-19 (.526) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Jake Westbrook.
  • Alex Gordon is 15-for-31 (.484) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Roberto Hernandez.
  • Luke Scott is 8-for-21 (.381) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Ervin Santana.

 

Misses
  • Edwin Encarnacion is 1-for-11 (.091) in his career against today’s starter, Ryan Dempster.
  • Rickie Weeks is 3-for-16 (.188) in eight career at-bats against today’s starter, Jake Westbrook.
  • Ben Zobrist is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career against today’s starter, Ervin Santana.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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