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May 17, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/17

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/17
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Welcome to our Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

And as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Thursday, May 16th.

5 Good Nights

  • Travis Snider: 3-5, 2 R, HR, 3 RBI, 1 steal
  • Daniel Murphy: 4-4, 2 R, RBI
  • Leonys Martin: 2-4, R, 2 steals
  • Stephen Straburg: 8.0 IP, 3 H, ER, 3 BB, 4 Ks, W
  • Mat Latos: 8.1 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, BB, 4 Ks

 

Honorable Mention: Brett Gardner, Jay Bruce, Geovany Soto, Mitch Moreland, Wilin Rosario, Will Middlebrooks, Brandon Crawford, Jose Fernandez, Jonathon Niese, Alex Cobb, Francisco Liriano

5 Bad Nights

  • Fernando Rodney: 0.2 IP, H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 2 Ks
  • Justin Verlander: 2.2 IP, 6 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 3 Ks
  • Steve Cishek: 1.2 IP, 3 H, 3  ER, 2 BB
  • Jacoby Ellsbury: 0-5
  • Todd Frazier: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Jayson Nix, Michael Saunders, Ike Davis, Edinson Volquez, Jhoulys Chacin, Matt Cain

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • While an MRI showed no serious damage, David Price was placed on the 15-day DL with a left triceps injury.
  • Alexi Ogando has been placed on the 15-day DL with biceps tendinitis.
  • Andrew Bailey (bicep) is expected to return to the Red Sox and assume closing duties on Monday.
  • Josh Beckett has been placed on the 15-day DL with a groin injury.
  • Matt Garza (arm) has looked strong in his rehab outings and may join the Cubs as soon as next week.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Matt Harvey at Chicago Cubs

Gio Gonzalez at San Diego Padres

Clay Buchholz at Minnesota Twins

3 Down

Tony Cingrani at Philadelphia Phillies

Rick Porcello at Texas Rangers

Mark Buehrle at New York Yankees

Throwing Darts

Jarrod Parker vs. Kansas City Royals

Jorge De La Rosa vs. San Francisco Giants

Jeanmar Gomez vs. Houston Astros

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Vernon Wells is 24-for-50 (.480) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Mark Buehrle.
  • Robinson Cano is 8-for-20 (.400) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Mark Buehrle.
  • Carlos Gonzalez is 9-for-25 (.360) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Madison Bumgarner.
  • Joey Votto is 7-for-16 (.438) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Cliff Lee.
  • J.P. Arencibia is 7-for-15 (.467) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Hiroki Kuroda.
  • Adam Jones is 10-for-31 (.323) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jeremy Hellickson.
  • Chris Davis is 8-for-18 (.444) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Jeremy Hellickson.
  • Justin Morneau is 8-for-16 (.500) in his career against today’s starter, Clay Buchholz.

 

Misses
  • Josh Hamilton is 1-for-8 in his career against today’s starter, Chris Sale.
  • Daniel Murphy is 1-for-9 (.111) in his career against today’s starter, Edwin Jackson.
  • Coco Crisp is 3-for-17 (.176) in his career against today’s starter, James Shields.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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