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May 15, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/15

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/15
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Welcome to our Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

And as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Tuesday, May 14th.

5 Good Nights

  • Carlos Gonzalez: 5-5, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Mitch Moreland: 2-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Howard Kendrick: 3-4, 2 R, HR, RBI, 1 steal
  • Clayton Kershaw: 8.2 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, BB, 11 K’s, W
  • Homer Bailey: 9.0 IP, 6 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 10 Ks, W

 

Honorable Mention: Mike Trout, Carlos Beltran, David Ortiz, Pablo Sandoval, John Mayberry Jr., Xavier Paul, Patrick Corbin, Chris Tillman, Doug Fister, Andrew Cashner, Jake Peavy, Dan Haren, Jason Vargas, Jonathan Pettibone, C.C. Sabathia, R.A. Dickey, Jeff Francis, Felix Hernandez, Julio Teheran

5 Bad Nights

  • Jim Johnson: 1.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER
  • Carlos Villanueva: 5.0 IP, 12 H, 7 ER, K
  • Dillon Gee: 4.0 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 5 Ks
  • Yadier Molina: 0-5
  • Ian Kinsler: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Yuniesky Betancourt, Geovany Soto, Garrett Jones, Pedro Alvarez, Michael Saunders, Yoenis Cespedes, Ricky Nolasco, John Lackey, Rafael Betancourt, Joe Nathan, Lucas Harrell, Barry Zito, Scott Kazmir, Jeremy Guthrie, John Gast, Derek Holland

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • With Brandon League recently getting Don Mattingly’s shaky “he’s our closer for now” support, Kenley Jansen picked up the one-out save for the Dodgers last night. There could be changes afoot in Los Angeles and it might be smart to try and deal League for whatever you can.
  • Curtis Granderson was activated from the disabled list and went 0-3 with one run scored in his return last night.
  • Zack Greinke (collarbone) has been activated from the disabled list and will start against the Washington Nationals tonight.
  • Andrew Bailey (biceps) should rejoin the Red Sox within the next week. Make sure he’s not available on your waiver wire.
  • Coco Crisp (hamstring) has been activated from the disabled list and leadoff against the Rangers tonight.
  • Ryan Madson is expected to be activated from the disabled list later this week, and while we don’t know if he’ll replace Ernesto Frieri as the Angels’ closer or not, it might not be the worst idea to see if Madson is available in your league.
  • Jose Altuve has been placed on the bereavement list and will miss at least the next three games following the death of his grandmother. Altuve said that the jaw injury he suffered in Monday’s game wouldn’t have kept him out of the lineup otherwise, so it sounds like he shouldn’t miss more than a few games here.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Alexi Ogando at Oakland A’s

Max Scherzer vs. Cleveland Indians

Shelby Miller vs. New York Mets

3 Down

Ryan Vogelsong at Toronto Blue Jays

Shaun Marcum at St. Louis Cardinals

Tim Hudson at Arizona Diamondbacks

Throwing Darts

Phil Hughes vs. Seattle Mariners

Ross Detwiler at Los Angeles Dodgers

Mike Leake at Miami Marlins

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Aramis Ramirez is 20-for-51 (.392) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Wandy Rodriguez.
  • Ryan Braun is 16-for-42 (.381) with four home runs in his career against today’s starter, Wandy Rodriguez.
  • (Don’t start Wandy Rodriguez today)
  • Small sample-size, but Josh Hamilton is 4-for-4 (1.000) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Wade Davis.

 

Misses
  • Pedro Alvarez is hitless in 15 career at-bats against today’s starter, Yovani Gallardo.
  • Carlos Gomez is 4-for-29 (.138) in his career against today’s starter, Wandy Rodriguez.
  • David Ortiz is 5-for-25 (.200) in his career against today’s starter, David Price.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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