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May 14, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/14

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/14
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Welcome to our Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

And as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Monday, May 13th.

5 Good Nights

  • Aaron Hicks: 2-3, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Billy Butler: 5-5, 2 R, 5 RBI
  • Jean Segura: 3-5, RBI, 3 steals
  • Justin Masterson: 9.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 9 K’s, W
  • Travis Wood: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 2 Ks, W

 

Honorable Mention: Norichika Aoki, Justin Morneau, Andy Dirks, Brian McCann, Ryan Zimmerman, Chris Johnson, Justin Upton, Alfonso Soriano, Matt Holliday, Jordan Zimmerman, Anibal Sanchez, Marco Estrada, A.J. Griffin, Mike Minor, David Phelps, Trevor Bauer

5 Bad Nights

  • Bud Norris: 5.0 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, BB, 2 Ks
  • Wade Miley: 5.0 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, K
  • Justin Grimm: 5.0 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 3 Ks
  • Mark Reynolds: 0-5
  • Carlos Santana: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Mike Moustakas, Danny Espinosa, Robinson Cano, Brett Gardner, Asdrubal Cabrera, Joe Blanton, Juan Nicasio, Josh Beckett

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Austin Jackson was placed on the 15-day DL with a hamstring injury and prospect Avisail Garcia has been called up to replace Jackson in the lineup.
  • Jose Altuve left last night’s Astros game after suffered a sublexed jaw in a collision with Jimmy Paredes. There is no timetable for Altuve’s injury, but Altuve thinks he’ll be able to play today so it looks like disaster may have been averted here.
  • It’s not official yet, but it looks like Wei-Yin Chen will be headed to the disabled list with a strained oblique.
  • It’s looking very likely that Curtis Granderson (forearm) will make his season debut tonight when the Yankees take on Seattle.
  • Chris Perez was unavailable to pitch on Sunday because of soreness in his right shoulder. It doesn’t look like he’ll miss time, but it might be smart to grab Joe Smith (Vinnie Pestano is on the DL) if you’re absolutely desperate for saves.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Clayton Kershaw vs. Washington Nationals

C.C. Sabathia vs. Seattle Mariners

Doug Fister vs. Houston Astros

3 Down

Bartolo Colon vs. Texas Rangers

Dillon Gee at St. Louis Cardinals

Ricky Nolasco vs. Cincinnati Reds

Throwing Darts

Chris Tillman vs. San Diego Padres

Scott Kazmir at Philadelphia Phillies

Andrew Cashner at Baltimore Orioles

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Andre Ethier is 20-for-47 (.426) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Dan Haren.
  • Billy Butler is 6-for-13 (.462) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jason Vargas.
  • Robinson Cano is 15-for-41 (.366) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Felix Hernandez.
  • Adrian Beltre is 18-for-57 (.316) with five home runs in his career against today’s starter, Bartolo Colon.

 

Misses
  • Josh Willingham is 1-for-18 (.056) in his career against today’s starter, Jake Peavy.
  • Hunter Pence is 3-for-19 (.158) in his career against today’s starter, R.A. Dickey.
  • Brandon Phillips is 4-for-25 (.160) in his career against today’s starter, Ricky Nolasco.
  • Nelson Cruz is 1-for-10 (.100) in his career against today’s starter, Bartolo Colon.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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