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May 13, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/13

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/13
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Welcome to our Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, May 12th.

5 Good Nights

  • Jose Bautista: 2-4, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Adrian Beltre: 4-5, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Alexei Ramirez: 3-4, R,  2 RBI, 2 steals
  • Chris Sale: 9.0 IP, H, 0 ER, 7 K’s, W
  • Tim Lincecum: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 7 Ks, W

 

Honorable Mention: Vernon Wells, Emilio Bonifacio, Mike Baxter, Troy Tulowitzki, Chris Davis, Kendry Morales, Chris Carter, Donald Lutz, Leury Garcia, Jorge De La Rosa, Brandon McCarthy, Hiroki Kuroda, Kyle Kendrick, Gio Gonzalez, Matt Harvey, Bronson Arroyo, Joe Saunders, Chris Capuano, Scott Feldman, Roberto Hernandez, Rick Porcello, Nick Tepesch, Jeanmar Gomez, Wei-Yin Chen

5 Bad Nights

  • Heath Bell: 0.2 IP, 4 H, 2 ER
  • Brandon League: 1.0 IP, 3 H, 2 ER
  • Jordan Lyles: 4.0 IP, 11 H, 8 ER, 3 BB, K
  • Victor Martinez: 0-5
  • Nick Swisher: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Martin Prado, J.P. Arencibia, Matt Reynolds, Scott Diamond, Ryan Dempster, Sergio Romo, Jose Valverde, Tommy Milone, Jaime Garcia, Ervin Santana, Eric Stults, Kris Medlen

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Michael Cuddyer was placed on the 15-day DL with a bulging disc in his neck.
  • Curtis Granderson (forearm) has fared well in four rehab games at Triple-A Scranton and could return to the lineup tomorrow night.
  • Neil Walker (hand) is expected to be activated from the 15-day DL today.
  • Jason Heyward (appendectomy) has experienced some general soreness during his rehab stint, but is still expected to join the Braves sometime this week.
  • Zack Greinke (collarbone) is expected to return to the Dodgers this week and start against the Nationals on Wednesday.
  • Rajai Davis was placed on the 15-day DL with a strained oblique.
  • Jake Westbrook was placed on the 15-day DL with elbow inflammation.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Jordan Zimmerman at Los Angeles Dodgers

Anibal Sanchez vs. Houston Astros

Hisashi Iwakuma vs. Oakland Athletics

3 Down

A.J. Griffin vs. Texas Rangers

Josh Beckett vs. Washington Nationals

Bud Norris at Detroit Tigers

Throwing Darts

Justin Grimm at Oakland A’s

Hector Santiago at Minnesota Twins

Trevor Bauer vs. New York Yankees

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Andrew McCutchen is 7-for-19 (.368) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Marco Estrada.
  • Ryan Braun is 6-for-14 (.429) in his career against today’s starter, A.J. Burnett.
  • Robinson Cano is 8-for-19 (.421) in his career against today’s starter, Justin Masterson.

 

Misses
  • Brett Gardner is 1-for-11 (.091) in 11 career at-bats against today’s starter, Justin Masterson.
  • Yuniesky Betancourt is 4-for-23 (.174) in his career against today’s starter, A. J. Burnett.
  • Adam LaRoche is 3-for-18 (.167) in his career against today’s starter, Josh Beckett.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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