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May 10, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/10

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/10
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Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Thursday, May 9th.

5 Good Nights

  • Rajai Davis: 2-5, 2 R, 2 steals
  • Brian McCann: 3-5, R, HR, 3 RBI
  • Mark Reynolds: 2-3, 2 R,  HR, 2 RBI
  • Scott Kazmir: 6.0 IP, 5 H, ER, 10 K’s, W
  • Patrick Corbin: 6.1 IP, 4 H, ER, 2 BB, 4 Ks, W

 

Honorable Mention: Jason Kipnis, Buster Posey, Matt Dominguez, Matt Tuiasosopo, Oswaldo Arcia, Alex Gordon, David Price, Julio Teheran, R.A. Dickey, Jeremy Guthrie, John Lackey, Cole Hamels, Jeff Locke, Dillon Gee, Lucas Harrell

5 Bad Nights

  • Bartolo Colon: 4.0 IP, 8 H, 6 ER, 4 Ks
  • Ryan Vogelsong: 4.1 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 7 Ks
  • Doug Fister: 3.0 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, BB, 4 Ks
  • David Ortiz: 0-5
  • Torii Hunter: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Melky Cabrera, Alcides Escobar, Jason Vargas, Freddy Garcia, Dan Haren, Kevin Correia,

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Michael Bourn (finger) has been activated from the disabled list and will likely be in the Indians line up when they face the Tigers tonight.
  • Joel Hanrahan was transferred to the 60-day DL by the Red Sox yesterday with an elbow injury and surgery hasn’t been ruled out yet. Time to drop Hanrahan if you haven’t already.
  • There were reports that Wil Myers was being called up after leaving the Durham Bulls game after the second inning last night, but it turns out Myers was removed with a stomach issue. FALSE ALARM!
  • Jayson Werth has missed eight of the Nationals last nine games with what was reported as a stomach bug, but Werth underwent an MRI on his hamstring yesterday so there may be something amiss here. There are reports that he may play on Saturday, but be prepared for a possible DL trip for Werth.
  • After missing Wednesday’s game with a hamstring injury, Carl Crawford may miss a few more games as the Dodgers allow him to heal. Don Mattingly is hoping he’ll be in the lineup tonight, but be prepared to be without Crawford for a few days.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Alexi Ogando at Houston Astros

Alex Cobb vs. San Diego Padres

Hisashi Iwakuma vs. Oakland Athletics

3 Down

Wandy Rodriguez at New York Mets

Ian Kennedy vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Yovani Gallardo at Cincinnati Reds

Throwing Darts

Dan Straily at Seattle Mariners

Jason Hammel at Minnesota Twins

Phil Hughes at Kansas City Royals

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Jay Bruce is 12-for-29 (.414) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Yovani Gallardo.
  • Yadier Molina is 7-for-9 (.778) in his career against today’s starter, Jon Garland.
  • Ichiro Suzuki is 8-for-16 (.500) in his career against today’s starter, Wade Davis.

 

Misses
  • Ryan Zimmerman is hitless in 11 career at-bats against today’s starter, Jeff Samardzija.
  • Pablo Sandoval is 2-for-17 (.118) in his career against today’s starter, Tim Hudson.
  • Carlos Santana is 2-for-20 (.100) in his career against today’s starter, Max Scherzer.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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