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May 1, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/1

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 5/1
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Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Tuesday, April 30th.

5 Good Nights

  • Ryan Raburn: 3-4, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Edwin Encarnacion: 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Yonder Alonso: 3-4, 3 R, HR, 5 RBI
  • Madison Bumgarner: 7.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, BB, 2 Ks
  • Hiroki Kuroda: 7.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 8 K’s, W

 

Honorable Mention: Drew Stubbs, Yonder Alonso, David Ortiz, Dewayne Wise, Carlos Quentin, Mike Trout, Yoenis Cespedes, Seth Smith, Travis Hafner, Freddie Freeman, Mike Moustakas, Starling Marte, Carlos Gomez, Rajai Davis, Andrelton Simmons, Andrew McCutchen, Kevin Slowey, Trevor Cahill, Jeremy Hefner, Tim Hudson, Bronson Arroyo, Justin Verlander, Jaime Garcia, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Jason Hammel, Zach McAllister, James Shields

5 Bad Nights

  • Roy Halladay: 3.2 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 3 Ks
  • Edwin Jackson: 4.2 IP, 11 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 6 Ks
  • Jorge De La Rosa: 4.0 IP, 11 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, K
  • Albert Pujols: 0-5, RBI
  • Daniel Nava: 0-5, R

 

Dishonorable Mention: Michael Saunders, J.J. Putz, Brad Peacock, James McDonald, Vance Worley, Gio Gonzalez, Garrett Richards, Marco Estrada, Brandon Maurer, Jon Lester, Jose Quintana, Edinson Volquez, Alex Cobb, Philip Humber, Yu Darvish, Brandon Morrow

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Giancarlo Stanton was diagnosed with a grade-two hamstring strain (on a scale of one-to-three) and will likely miss at least three weeks.
  • After feeling tightness in his arm during Monday’s start, Stephen Strasburg was deemed healthy by the team doctor and is currently scheduled to make his next start on Saturday.
  • J.J. Putz blew his fourth save of the season last night (he has five saves) and while the Diamondbacks appear to be sticking with the veteran, it may not be a bad idea to grab David Hernandez and even Matt Reynolds.
  • Joel Hanrahan was activated from the 15-day DL, but the Red Sox announced that Andrew Bailey will continue to close going forward. Looks like Hanrahan got Wally Pipp’d here.
  • Erick Aybar was activated from the disabled list by the Angels yesterday and in a corresponding move, Peter Bourjos was placed on the 15-day DL with a hamstring injury.
  • As expected, Kevin Youkilis was placed on the 15-day DL by the Yankees to help recuperate his lingering back injury.
  • Delmon Young was activated from the DL by the Phillies yesterday and hit a home run in his first game back. He will serve as the Phillies’ regular right fielder going forward.
  • Ryan Zimmerman is expected to be activated from the DL on Friday after undergoing a quick rehab stint.
  • With Brett Myers likely out for a month with a small tear of his ulnar collateral ligament, Trevor Bauer will join the Indians’ rotation and will start against the Phillies today.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Anibal Sanchez vs. Minnesota Twins

Cliff Lee at Cleveland Indians

Lance Lynn vs. Cincinnati Reds

3 Down

Tim Lincecum at Arizona Diamondbacks

Chris Sale at Texas Rangers

Homer Bailey at St. Louis Cardinals

Throwing Darts

Wei-Yin Chen at Seattle Mariners

David Phelps vs.  Houston Astros

Dillon Gee at Miami Marlins

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Paul Goldschmidt is 8-for-14 (.571) with five home runs in his career against today’s starter, Tim Lincecum.
  • Matt  Holliday is 12-for-27 (.444) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Homer Bailey.
  • Josh Hamilton is 5-for-11 (.455) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Tommy Milone.
  • Albert Pujols is 7-for-11 (.636) in his career against today’s starter, Tommy Milone.
  • Nick Swisher is 8-for-25 (.320) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Cliff Lee.
  • Miguel Cabrera is 7-for-14 (.500) in his career against today’s starter, Scott Diamond.
  • David Ortiz is 22-for-61 (.361) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Mark Buehrle.

 

Misses
  • Edwin Encarnacion is 1-for-15 (.067) in his career against today’s starter, Clay Buchholz.
  • J.P. Arencibia is hitless in 11 career at-bats against today’s starter, Chris Sale.
  • Elvis Andrus is hitless in eight career at-bats against today’s starter, Chris Sale.
  • Dan Uggla is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career against today’s starter, Jordan Zimmerman.
  • Coco Crisp is 4-for-24 (.167) in his career against today’s starter, C.J. Wilson.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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