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April 30, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 4/30

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 4/30
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Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Monday, April 29th.

5 Good Nights

  • Ryan Raburn: 4-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Brandon Moss: 3-8, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 1 steal
  • Albert Pujols: 4-8, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Ubaldo Jimenez: 7.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 Ks, W
  • Yovani Gallardo: 7.0 IP, 3 H, ER, 2 BB, 5 K’s, W

 

Honorable Mention: Carlos Corporan, Carlos Gomez, Wilin Rosario, Nolan Arenado, Juan Pierre, Jordan Schafer, Brandon Barnes, Mark Trumbo, Prince Fielder, Yuniesky Betancourt, Mat Latos, Joe Saunders, Max Scherzer, Adam Wainwright, Lucas Harrell, Jerome Williams, Tommy Hanson, Tyler Chatwood, Matt Harvey

5 Bad Nights

  • Wandy Rodriguez: 3.2 IP, 6 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 2 Ks
  • Wade Davis: 4.2 IP, 12 H, 8 ER, 3 BB, 3 Ks
  • Andy Pettitte: 4.1 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, BB, 3 Ks
  • Josh Hamilton: 0-8, RBI
  • Giancarlo Stanton: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Placido Polanco, Chris Iannetta, Angel Pagan, Michael Cuddyer, Gerardo Parra, Derek Norris, Ike Davis, Mike Trout, Daniel Murphy, Yoenis Cespedes, Ted Lilly, Dan Straily, Shaun Marcum, Zach Britton, Clayton Richard, Jonathan Sanchez, Mike Pelfrey, Matt Cain

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Giancarlo Stanton was placed on the 15-day DL with a hamstring injury and will have an MRI done today.
  • Hanley Ramirez has been activated by the Los Angeles Dodgers — just in time for Hanley Ramirez Bobblehead Night!
  • Kevin Gregg picked up his fourth save in four opportunities for the Cubs, but Kyuji Fujikawa is throwing bullpen sessions and is targeting a mid-May return so Gregg may not last long in the closer role.
  • Joaquin Benoit picked up the save for the Tigers last night, but only because Jim Leyland didn’t want to use Jose Valverde for a third straight night.
  • There are reports swirling that Jason Heyward (appendectomy) may not return until the end of May. Be prepared.
  • Nationals manager Davey Johnson thought Stephen Strasburg might have been dealing with some forearm tightness during his lackluster outing last night, which may cause the team to skip Strasburg’s next scheduled start this weekend.
  • Kevin Youkilis has been dealing with a lingering back injury and there is a very good possibility that he will be placed on the DL as soon as today or tomorrow.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Justin Verlander vs. Minnesota Twins

Hiroki Kuroda vs. Houston Astros

Yu Darvish vs. Chicago White Sox

3 Down

Jaime Garcia vs. Cincinnati Reds

Jarrod Parker vs. Los Angeles Angels

Trevor Cahill vs. San Francisco Giants

Throwing Darts

Marco Estrada vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Jorge De La Rosa at Los Angeles Dodgers

Garrett Richards at Oakland A’s

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Matt Kemp is 10-for-23 (.435) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jorge De La Rosa.
  • Joe Mauer is 22-for-59 (.373) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Justin Verlander.
  • Dustin Pedroia is 10-for-20 (.500) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Brandon Morrow.
  • Adrian Gonzalez is 10-for-28 (.357) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jorge De La Rosa.
  • Ryan Braun is 6-for-13 (.462) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, James McDonald.

 

Misses
  • Chase  Headley is 2-for-11 (.182) in his career against today’s starter, Edwin Jackson.
  • Yadier Molina is 7-for-43 (.163) in his career against today’s starter, Bronson Arroyo.
  • Martin Prado is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career against today’s starter, Madison Bumgarner.
  • Edwin Encarnacion is 4-for-24 (.167) in his career against today’s starter, Jon Lester.
  • Mike Napoli is 2-for-14 (.143) in his career against today’s starter, Brandon Morrow.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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