Blog
April 29, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 4/29

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 4/29
Print Friendly

Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, April 28th.

5 Good Nights

  • Giancarlo Stanton: 3-3, 3 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Russell Martin: 3-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Carl Crawford: 2-4, 4 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Clayton Kershaw: 8.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 12 Ks, W
  • Kevin Correia: 8.0 IP, 6 H, 0 ER, BB, 2 K’s, W

 

Honorable Mention: Carlos Santana, Asdrubal Cabrera, Nate McClouth, Manny Machado, Pablo Sandoval, Garrett Jones, Miguel Cabrera, Mike Aviles, Seth Smith, Chris Davis, Austin Jackson, Matt Joyce, Alexi Amarista, Daniel Nava, Chase Headley, Jason Vargas, Kyle Lohse, R.A. Dickey, Ricky Nolasco, David Price, Doug Fister, Jeff Locke, Corey Kluber, Jeremy Guthrie, Jason Marquis, Jonathon Niese, John Lackey, Cole Hamels, Patrick Corbin, Hisashi Iwakuma, Tony Cingrani

5 Bad Nights

  • Justin Masterson: 6.1 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 9 Ks
  • Ryan Vogelsong: 5.0 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 6 Ks
  • Mike Minor: 6.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 6Ks
  • Billy Butler: 1-7, R
  • Drew Stubbs: 0-7, RBI

 

Dishonorable Mention: James Loney, Jordan Schafer, Gaby Sanchez, Robbie Grossman, Will Smith, Bartolo Colon, Miguel Gonzalez

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Troy Tulowitzki left yesterday’s game with a strained left rotator cuff, but the injury is not expected to be serious. Tulowitzki is currently listed as day-to-day and his owners look to have avoided a potential disaster here.
  • Yoenis Cespedes (wrist) was activated from the 15-day DL and hit a home run in his first game back yesterday. Get him back in your lineups!
  • Hanley Ramirez (thumb) feels good after playing back-to-back rehab games and could return to the Dodgers lineup as soon as tonight.
  • Nolan Arenado has been promoted to the Rockies’ big league roster and will get a chance to play regularly. With third base being as shallow as it is, Arenado is worth a look in all but the shallowest of leagues.
  • Didi Gregorious has been placed on the 7-day DL after getting hit in the head by a pitch Saturday.
  • Brian McCann (shoulder) is nearing a return and could be back in the Braves lineup as soon as next week. Might be smart to start shopping Evan Gattis if you haven’t already.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Jeff Samardzija vs. San Diego Padres

Matt  Harvey at Miami Marlins

Max Scherzer vs. Minnesota Twins

3 Down

Matt Cain at Arizona Diamondbacks

Jose Fernandez vs. New York Mets

Wandy Rodriguez at Milwaukee Brewers

Throwing Darts

Dan Straily vs. Los Angeles Angels

Wade Davis vs. Cleveland Indians

Ted Lilly vs. Colorado Rockies

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Ryan Braun is 14-for-39 (.359) with four home runs in his career against today’s starter, Wandy Rodriguez.
  • Justin Morneau is 5-for-10 (.500) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Max Scherzer.
  • Dan Uggla is 9-for-20 (.450) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Stephen Strasburg.

 

Misses
  • Joey Votto is 1-for-17 (.059) in his career against today’s starter, Adam Wainwright.
  • Dexter Fowler is 3-for-23 (.130) in his career against today’s starter, Ted Lilly.
  • Chris Davis is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career against today’s starter, Joe Saunders.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

Latest posts by Nick Raducanu (Posts)

Share

You must be logged in to post a comment.