Daily Fantasy Baseball
April 24, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 4/24

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 4/24
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Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Tuesday, April 23rd.

5 Good Nights

  • Mark Ellis: 4-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Howard Kendrick: 3-4, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI
  • Justin Upton: 3-8, 3 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI
  • Adam Wainwright: 8.1 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, BB, 9 Ks, W
  • Bartolo Colon: 7.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, BB, 7 K’s, W

 

Honorable Mention: Edwin Encarnacion, Rob Brantly, Nelson Cruz, Seth Smith, Juan Francisco, Paul Goldschmidt, Alfonso Soriano, Reed Johnson, Carlos Villanueva, Cole Hamels, Patrick Corbin, Kevin Correia, Tony Cingrani, Phil Hughes, Alexi Ogando, Julio Teheran, Jeff Locke, Ricky Nolasco, Bud Norris, Hisashi Iwakuma

5 Bad Nights

  • Clayton Richard: 1.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, K
  • Alfredo Aceves: 3.1 IP, 7 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 3 Ks
  • J.J. Putz: 1.0 IP, 2 H, 2 ER, K
  • Carl Crawford: 0-5
  • Albert Pujols: 0-5

 

Dishonorable Mention: Marco Scutaro, Troy Tulowitzki, Anthony Rizzo, A.J. Pollock, Justin Morneau, Mike Pelfrey, Jon Garland, Jeff Francis, Fernando Rodney, Jose Fernandez, R. A. Dickey

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Jose Valverde has been activated by the Detroit Tigers and manager Jim Leyland has committed to using Valverde as the team’s closer (for the time being).
  • Bruce Rondon was also recalled by the Tigers and while he may not close in the near future, he could be a smart stash in deeper leagues in case Valverde falters.
  • Kevin Gregg got the extra innings save for the Cubs last night and is worth a pick up if you’re chasing saves. He may not provide long-term value, however, as Kyuji Fujikawa (forearm strain) is nearing a return.
  • After being lifted from Sunday’s start with a stiff back, Felix Hernandez may miss his next scheduled start on Saturday so be prepared with alternatives.
  • Jason Maxwell has been placed on the 15-day DL with a broken hand.
  • After hoping to return to the Cubs in mid-May, Matt Garza experienced a case of dead arm after his latest bullpen session and will likely have his return pushed back due to this setback.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Max Scherzer vs. Kansas City Royals

Matt  Harvey vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Stephen Strasburg vs. St. Louis Cardinals

3 Down

Tim Hudson at Colorado Rockies

Brett Anderson at Boston Red Sox

Wandy Rodriguez at Philadelphia Phillies

Throwing Darts

Joe Saunders at Houston Astros

Edison Volquez vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ted Lilly at New York Mets

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Adam Jones is 11-for-28 (.393) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Brandon Morrow.
  • Nelson Cruz is 9-for-15 (.310) with three home runs and nine RBI in his career against today’s starter, Jerome Williams.
  • Adrian Beltre is 8-for-17 (.471) with one home run in his career against today’s starter, Jerome Williams.

 

Misses
  • Andrew McCutchen is 1-for-10 (.100) in his career against today’s starter, Roy Halladay.
  • Evan Longoria is 2-for-18 (.111) with 10 strikeouts in his career against today’s starter, Andy Pettitte.
  • Joey Votto is 1-for-11 (.091) in his career against today’s starter, Jeff Samardzija.
  • Jacoby Ellsbury is hitless in 11 career at-bats against today’s starter, Brett Anderson.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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