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April 22, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 4/22

Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 4/22
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Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, April 21st.

5 Good Nights

  • Nelson Cruz: 2-4, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Mike Trout: 2-6, R, 2 steals
  • Yunel Escobar: 3-4, R, HR, 2 RBI
  • Barry Zito: 7.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, BB, 4 Ks, W
  • Roberto Hernandez: 6.0 IP, 3 H, ER, 3 BB, 7 K’s, W

 

Honorable Mention: Kyle Seager, Clint Barmes, Adam Jones, Chris Stewart, Alex Gordon, Mike Napoli, Ryan Braun, Erik Kratz, Anthony Rizzo, Ervin Santana, Wily Peralta, Doug Fister, Gavin Floyd, Homer Bailey, Kyle Kendrick, Scott Diamond, Allen Webster, Justin Grimm, Dillon Gee, Scott Feldman

5 Bad Nights

  • Aaron Harang: 4.2 IP, 8 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 5 Ks
  • Jake Arrieta: 4.0 IP, 2 H, 5 ER, 5 BB, 6 Ks
  • Mitchell Boggs: 0.1 IP, 4 H, 4 ER
  • Victor Martinez: 0-6
  • Austin Jackson: 0-7

 

Dishonorable Mention: Andre Ethier, Kendrys Morales, Josh Hamilton, Hank Conger, Jon Jay, Manny Machado, Will Middlebrooks, Jeff Francoeur, Mike Moustakas, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Eric Stults, Ivan Nova, Jeremy Guthrie, Stephen Fife, Ubaldo Jimenez, Josh Johnson, Tommy Milone, Jonathan Sanchez, Brandon McCarthy

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Ryan Zimmerman was placed on the 15-day DL over the weekend with a hamstring injury. Anthony Rendon has been called up in the meantime and could be a good pick up while Zimmerman is out — especially in keeper leagues.
  • Freddie Freeman (oblique) completed his rehab stint at Triple-A Gwinnett over the weekend and should be in the Braves’ lineup when they take on the Rockies tonight.
  • Dayan Viciedo has been placed on the 15-day DL with an oblique strain.
  • Chad Billingsley has been placed on the 15-day DL with an elbow injury and it’s looking like he may be headed for a long-term absence.
  • Aramis Ramirez is eligible to return from the disabled list, but the team is being cautious with his knee injury and it looks like he won’t see him return to the Brewers’ lineup for another week or so.
  • Jhoulys Chacin has been placed on the 15-day DL with a left oblique strain.
  • Albert Pujols started his ninth game at DH yesterday (he’s only started eight at first) and said his foot is “hurting real bad”. This could be something short-term that he gets over, but it’s something to be aware of if you’re trying to trade for the Angels’ slugger.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the lynchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Felix Hernandez at Houston Astros

C.C. Sabathia at Tampa Bay Rays

Kyle Lohse at. San Diego Padres

3 Down

Derk Holland vs. Los Angeles Angels

Mike Minor at Colorado Rockies

Dan Haren vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Throwing Darts

Kevin Correia vs. Miami Marlins

Shelby Miller at Washington Nationals

Ricky Nolasco at Minnesota Twins

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Evan Longoria is 14-for-39 (.359) with five home runs and nine RBI in his career against today’s starter, C.C. Sabathia.
  • Albert Pujols is 6-for-15 (.400) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Derek Holland.
  • Ryan Braun is 11-for-22 (.500) with five doubles in his career against today’s starter, Jason Marquis.

 

Misses
  • B.J. Upton is hitless in six career at-bats against today’s starter, Jeff Francis.
  • Chase Headley is 3-for-13 (.231) against today’s starter, Kyle Lohse.
  • Alfonso Soriano is 2-for-18 (.111) in his career against today’s starter, Mike Leake.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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