MLB
April 29, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

Fantasy Baseball Added and Dropped: Surprise, Surprise

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Bryce Harper, Washington Nationals, OF

Bryce Harper was hardly earning an invite to the Triple-A All Star Game so it was a bit shocking when Washington called him up Friday.  Despite the sub par stats fantasy owners are not passing up the chance to add such a prodigious talent.  He is not the only National among the most added players.  “Tatman’s” powers are weakening in Arizona, the third baseman is hitting the wire along with one of his former teammates.

Added

Bryce Harper:  He made his debut Saturday and produced a nice highlight.  It is expected to be a short-term promotion but Washington is not exactly teeming with quality outfielders.  No matter how talented he is history suggests Harper will struggle in the majors at nineteen years old.  There is no denying he is fun to own though.

Drop for him:  Carl Crawford, Colby Rasmus, Jeff Francoeur

Don’t drop for him:  Lucas Duda, Denard Span, Cameron Maybin

Mike Aviles:  Hitting leadoff since Jacoby Ellsbury’s injury, Aviles climbed into the ranks of the elite fantasy shortstops.  He still does not have great OBP skills but is showing more power than in years past.  It is not sustainable though, his fly ball rate is actually below his career average, but his HR/FB suddenly surged to 18.2%.

Drop for him:  Alexi Ramirez, Ian Desmond, Marco Scutaro

Don’t drop for him:  J.J. Hardy, Erick Aybar, Zack Cozart

Henry Rodriguez:  Brad Lidge is on the DL, so any question about HRod’s place in the bullpen is answered for now.  He celebrated by blowing a save Saturday night, of course.  He has a huge 98 mph fastball and a history of control troubles.  A 6.00 BB/9 could be his undoing.

Drop for him:  Jordan Walden, Javy Guerra, Hector Santiago

Don’t drop for him:  Kenley Jansen, Santiago Casilla, Scott Downs

Bryan LaHair:  He is off to a scorching start, fourth in the majors with a .686 SLG.  The peripheral numbers raise some large red flags, however.  His BABIP is .560 and his HR/FB ratio is 36.4%.  A 37.1% strikeout rate reveals plenty of downside, do not count on him to be useful all year.

Drop for him:  Coco Crisp, Vernon Wells, Delmon Young

Don’t drop for him:  Luke Scott, Brennan Boesch, Mike Trout

Dropped

Ryan Roberts:  Arizona is cutting his playing time as he scuffles along at .159/.243/.254.  His .188 BABIP shows better times are ahead, but it is very possible that last year was a career year.  His 8.2% line drive rate and 24.0% popup rate implies very weak contact overall.

Drop him for:  Ty Wigginton, Chris Davis, Robert Andino

Don’t drop him for:  Danny Valencia, Chone Figgins, Sean Rodriguez

Ervin Santana:  Allowing ten home runs in four starts will bloat one’s ERA and Santana’s is 7.23.  His 4.41 xFIP and 4.40 SIERA better indicate his true skill level.  That is still not very useful in standard leagues, additionally his K/9 is down to 6.08.  Given his inconsistent career owners should not hesitate to drop him.

Drop him for:  Ricky Nolasco, Ross Detwiler, Erik Bedard

Don’t drop him for:  Jhoulys Chacin, Jair Jurrjens, Phil Hughes

Clay Buchholz:  Another gopher-plagued SP, observers feel his location has been off all season.  He holds career highs in BB/9, lows in K/9, and a K/BB of 1.10.  His ground ball rate is its lowest since 2008.  Batters connected on 80.7% of swings last year, in 2012 they do on 88.4%.  There is not much reason to hold on.

Drop him for:  Jake Westbrook, Edison Volquez, Mark Buehrle

Don’t’ drop him for:  Jonathan Sanchez, Francisco Liriano, Carl Pavano

Mark Reynolds:  He is slumping at .158/.284/.228, and has sat twice in the last five games.  He strikes out in 40.3% of plate appearances and has a league high 17.4% swinging strike rate.  While the contact problems remain, his power is not present.  He has no home runs and a .070 ISO more suited for a middle infielder.  Fantasy players are familiar with the upside and downside of Reynolds, there has been far more downside recently.

Drop him for:  Mat Gamel, Chipper Jones, Matt Carpenter

Don’t drop him for:  Kyle Seager, Placido Polanco, Scott Rolen

 

 

 

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