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April 17, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

Fantasy Baseball Added and Dropped: Life After 30

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Omar Infante, 2B, Miami Marlins

Three of this week’s most added players are on the “wrong” side of the big 3-0.  This includes an unexpected closer and a second baseman who is tied for second in the league in home runs.  A former pitching phenom and a current hitting “phenom in waiting” occupy the most dropped side.

Added

Omar Infante:  He clubbed his fourth home run Sunday, vaulting him very high on the early season Player Rater.  He is generating more loft with a 58.8% fly ball rate, but his power is really not believable.  The last time his ISO was over .150 was 2004.  Do not make any rash moves to acquire him.

Drop for him:  Neil Walker, Daniel Murphy, Chase Utley

Don’t drop for him:  Aaron Hill, Jason Kipnis, Danny Espinosa

 

Fernando Rodney:  He is unexpectedly holding down ninth inning duties for Tampa Bay.  He has only one walk through six appearances.  His 4.85 career BB/9 shows that command has been a problem in years past.  A subtle shift in his approach could be paying dividends.  Kyle Farsworth will miss the first six weeks, and maybe more.

Drop for him:  Brian Wilson, Matt Capps, Drew Storen

Don’t drop for him:  Aroldis Chapman, Sean Marshall, Hector Santiago

Adam LaRoche:  His early season production is impressive for the 7-3 Nationals.  His sky high .444 BABIP is at least partially supported by a 31.0% line drive rate.  If his shoulder is healthy he can easily hit 25 home runs.  He makes a good corner infielder in standard mixed leagues.

Drop for him:  Mitch Moreland, Mark Trumbo, Adam Lind

Don’t drop for him:  Freddie Freeman, Lucas Duda, Kendrys Morales

J.D. Martinez:  He opened the year on a nine game hitting streak, with damage:  .371/.436/.714.  He dramatically improved his BB/K ratio over 2012’s small sample and dropped his swing rate from 52.3% to 45.8%.  He hit .342/.407/.551 in 1261 minor league plate appearances.

Drop for him:  Colby Rasmus, Jason Kubel, Alex Rios

Don’t drop for him:  Brennan Boesch, Logan Morrison, Drew Stubbs

Francisco Liriano, SP, Minnesota Twins

Dropped

Francisco Liriano:  In Spring Training of 2010 he had a 2.70 ERA with a 30/5 K/BB.  He went on to lead the league in FIP.  In Spring Training of 2012 he had a 2.33 ERA with a 33/5 K/BB.  In two regular season starts he has been a complete wreck.  The numbers show hitters making contact more often, and of better quality.  Bail out.

Drop him for:  Trevor Cahill, Henderson Alvarez, Jake Peavy

Don’t drop him for:  Phil Hughes, Carlos Zambrano, Carl Pavano

Brandon Belt:  He went a full week between starts, forcing owners to frequently curse manager Bruce Bochy.  He has nothing to prove in Triple-A and San Francisco can use more offensive punch.  The best option would be to bench him, but a small roster size could force a move.

Drop him for:  Jon Jay, Denard Span, Cody Ross

Don’t drop him for:  Ryan Sweeney, John Mayberry Jr., Aubrey Huff

Jair Jurrjens:  His Spring was marred by health issues and he gave up four home runs in his first two starts.  Every pitch is down at least one mph, and his swinging strike rate dropped from 7.4% to 4.9%.  His 4.82 BB/9 is well above his 3.12 career mark.  He showed mediocre skills even when his results were good, so there is no reason to stick with him.

Drop him for:  Matt Harrison, Jonathon Niese, Erik Bedard

Don’t drop him for:  Bartolo Colon, Jake Arrieta, Jonathan Sanchez

Ryan Raburn:  With a .074/.167/.074 line he is not contributing to Detroit’s #5 offense.  It is likely just an early season slump, but Ramon Santiago could take some playing time.  Raburn is droppable for a second baseman off to a better start.

Drop him for:  Omar Infante, Mike Aviles, Ruben Tejada

Don’t drop him for:  Jose Altuve, Sean Rodriguez, Gordon Beckham

 

 

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