February 26, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

Fantasy Baseball 2012 Off the Grid: Ryan Doumit

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Ryan Doumit, C, Minnesota Twins

Vital Stats:  MDC Rank:  336, 20th ranked catcher, drafted in 54.3% of MDC leagues, 5% of Yahoo leagues

Ryan Doumit started 53 games at catcher in 2011, making him eligible there in all formats.  That his primary position in Minnesota is DH is of little concern.  In fact, if anything can stem the tide of injuries he suffered throughout the years, avoiding the rigors of catching should.  There are of course no guarantees, but if he makes 500 PA Doumit has every chance to be a top ten catcher.

A sprained ankle limited Doumit’s time in 2011 but did not curtail his productivity.  Among catchers with 200+ PA he was third in OPS and fourth in wRC+.  In both categories he bettered Brian McCann, Carlos Santana, and Miguel Montero.  The former Pirate did not do anything out of character, his .174 ISO was just a shade above his .171 career average.  His BB/K ratio was over 0.40 for the fourth straight year.  He has not struck out over 20.0% of the time since 2007 and in more recent years his contact rate is over 80.0% while his swinging strike rate is under 10.0%.  His batting eye took another step forward in 2011, he reduced his chase rate more than 7.0%.  While he hit .250 in 2009 and .251 in 2010 he does not present a batting average risk because he avoids getting himself out.

The switch-hitting Doumit is more effective as a left-handed batter but serviceable from both sides.  His career wRC+ as a lefty is 109 against a mark of 91 as a righty.  Last season, however, he posted a 154 wRC+ with a .204 ISO and a 1.00 K/BB from the right side.  The sample is small enough to show some random variance, but all the indicators are positive.

Target Field has acquired a reputation as a home run killer in its two short years, but Doumit’s former home was no hitter’s paradise.  In 2011 Target was #20 for home runs while PNC was #25.  In 2010 Target was dead last, but PNC was bringing up the rear at #25 as well.  Call the move a wash.

For those in two-catcher leagues Doumit is a no-doubt target.  His potential as a top offensive fantasy catcher puts him into consideration for standard leagues as well.  He is well worth drafting over Jarrod Saltalamacchia (334 MDC Rank), Kurt Suzuki (330), Nick Hundley (328), Yorvit Torrealba (320), and Wilson Ramos (his HR/FB rose by 10% and is extremely likely to regress) (211).


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