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June 9, 2014 posted by Patrick DiCaprio

Closer Identifier Algorithm Results June 9, 2014

Closer Identifier Algorithm Results June 9, 2014
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Here are this week’s results:

Pitcher CIA Result Comments
Zach Britton Lose Has looked good in his last three outings, racking up 5 K with 0 H or ER and only 1 BB. It still is not enough to get him into the black just yet.
Ernesto Frieri Auto Hold Has settled in nicely since getting the job back, but is always a few errant gusts of wind from blowing up.
Chad Qualls Hold Still looking very solid.
Bryan Shaw Auto Lose Shaw got an opportunity on June 1 and blew it, which was almost certainly his last hurrah. Allen was used four times in 7 days before that so Shaw only was a fill in. We will remove him next week if he gets no SVO.
Cody Allen Hold Has converted 5 in a row without letting up a hit, so the job is his for the foreseeable future.
Fernando Rodney Auto Hold When he is OK he makes up for the walks with lots of K’s. Right now he is OK.
Joakim Soria Auto Hold Making a case for Comeback Player of the Year honors.
Grant Balfour Auto Lose Sticking with closers too long is Joe Maddon’s one blind spot, and Balfour is no exception. It is hard to see how he does not cede the job and could lose it at any moment.
Koji Uehara Auto Hold The AL “perfection” leader with 12.
Greg Holland Auto Hold Holland is obviously struggling this year with only 18/19 in SV/SVO and almost 14 K/9.
Joe Nathan Auto Lose Brad Ausmus’ last statement: “Nathan will work through this.” Yeah, right.
Glen Perkins Auto Hold Has faced some bad luck this year with a  61% LOB%; so imagine what he would look like with average to good luck.
Ronald Belisario Auto Lose Still looks terrible despite converting his last two SVO.
David Robertson Auto Lose Still gets an “auto lose” because of that 5 ER outing, and has let up at least one run in a surprising number of appearances.
Casey Janssen Auto Hold He has always been a CIA favorite as an underappreciated closer, and is improving his K rate with every outing as he works back into shape while still going 11/12 in SV/SVO.
Sean Doolittle Hold Last year was the Edward Mujica K/BB Watch. This year it is the Sean Doolittle version, which now stands at 42.00
National League
Craig Kimbrel Auto Hold Having a bad season so far with 15.88 K/9 and a 1.14 FIP. The Braves need a better option.
Francisco Rodriguez Auto Lose Will be back to “auto hold” with one more outing, shedding off the one terrible stretch due to overwork. He is 99% safe.
Trevor Rosenthal Lose Keeps waffling back and forth between “hold” and “lose” in what has become a death by a thousand cuts season for his owners. But still trending up overall, just with too many blips.
Hector Rondon Hold There have been a lot of razor’s edge decisions this year by CIA, including the disappointing “miss” on Melancon. Rondon gets a “hold” but has let up 7 ER in his last 11 outings, and CIA’s cut off is 6 ER in last ten.
Addison Reed Auto Hold A good example of a bad luck pitcher, Reed has a 7.75 K/BB and is 15/17 in SV/SVO with a 4.13 ERA. A 20% HR/FB is the culprit.
Kenley Jansen Auto Hold His K/9 is a measly 15.12 so obviously there is something wrong here.
Sergio Romo Auto Hold Last week “auto lose”; this week he is the NL Save leader.
Steve Cishek Auto Hold Rolling along as a top closer with an 11.22 K/9 and is up to 14 SV.
Jennry Mejia Auto Lose Mejia is in trouble despite a 6/7 mark in SV/SVO. He has been worked hard by Collins, working 8 times in the last 14 days, which may explain his ineffectiveness.
Rafael Soriano Hold Drops to “hold” after a BS in his last outing, but is doing his usual, namely “just enough to get the job done.”
Huston Street Auto Hold The leader in “Most Saves Without Blowing One” at 18.
Jonathan Papelbon Auto Hold Papelbon has been fantastic this year, and has let up one ER since April 20.
Jason Grilli Auto Hold Has not blown a save since his return.
Latroy Hawkins Auto Hold His incredible season continues. He is almost the reincarnation of Dan Quisenberry.
Aroldis Chapman Auto Hold The K/9 leader at 16.62.
HITS MISSES
Jose Veras Mark Melancon
JJ Hoover
Jim Johnson
Jose Valverde
Sean Doolittle
Shawn Kelley
Ernesto Frieri
Sergio Santos
Jonathan Broxton
Josh Fields
Sean Doolittle
John Axford
Luke Gregerson
Brett Cecil
Tommy Hunter
Kyle Farnsworth
Joe Smith
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