June 25, 2012 posted by Patrick DiCaprio

Closer Identifier Algorithm Results for June 25

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Here are this week’s results. We are going to be making an alteration to the CIA criteria as of today, and it will be discussed in my article tomorrow. 

Alfredo Aceves is firmly entrenched and CIA thinks he keeps the job after Andrew Bailey comes back. With Bailey having another setback and Aceves with a 63% LOB% we have few worries.

Rafael Soriano  is close to “hold” as his K/BB ratio is now exactly 2.5. However, his BPV is below 80, so he keeps a “lose” status for the time being. He is very likely to be a “hold” by next week.

What is going on with Aroldis Chapman? He is still rock solid according to CIA, but his skills softened every week this month. He had a back issue, his velocity is down and he has off-field issues. So, there are some concerns here. But this is exactly why we are using an algorithm; we want to avoid relying on questionable information that may lead us astray.

Tyler Clippard is now a “hold.” He has converted all 12 of his opportunities since ascension to the role, and will hold off Drew Storen according to the team. This is a success for CIA, but we will not count it as a “hit.”

Pitcher CIA result Reason for Change/Comments
Jim Johnson Hold  
Alfredo Aceves Hold  
Addison Reed Hold  
Chris Perez Hold  
Jose Valverde Lose  
Jon Broxton Lose getting closer to “hold” status
Ernesto Frieri Hold  
Matt Capps Lose injured-will update Twins next week
Rafael Soriano Lose K/BB 2.5 but BPV below 80
Ryan Cook Lose  
Tom Wilhelmsen Hold Looking rock solid
Fernando Rodney Hold  
Joe Nathan Hold  
Casey Janssen Hold  
JJ Putz Hold  
Craig Kimbrel Hold  
Carlos Marmol Lose  
Aroldis Chapman Hold  
Rafael Betancourt Hold  
Brett Myers Lose Close to “hold” based on SV/SVO%
Kenley Jansen Hold  
Heath Bell Hold  
John Axford Lose K/BB still below 2.5
Frank Francisco Hold injured-will update Mets next week
Jon Papelbon Hold  
Joel Hanrahan Hold  
Huston Street Hold  
Santiago Casilla Hold  
Jason Motte Hold  
Tyler Clippard Hold 100% SV/SVO since taking the job
Hits Misses  
Hector Santiago Sean Marshall  
Scott Downs Steve Cishek  
Jordan Walden Dale Thayer  
Brian Fuentes    
Rafael Dolis    
Heath Bell    
Scott Downs    
Henry Rodriguez    
Carlos Marmol    
Javy Guerra    
Grant Balfour    
Brandon League    
Brian Fuentes second time    

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