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August 7, 2012 posted by Patrick DiCaprio

Closer Identifier Algorithm Results for August 7

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Joel Hanrahan, PIT

Here are the latest results with comments. Jim Johnson, surprisingly, now has a “lose” status, so this will be interesting to watch. CIA also garnered three more “hits” and another “miss,” its fourth of the year, so the tally now stands at 18-4.

Pitcher CIA result Comments
Jim Johnson Lose Status change based on recent performance. SV/SVO still strong but below minimum and K rate uninspiring
Alfredo Aceves Lose Still a “lose” but only BPV of 73 holds him back
Addison Reed Hold Still holding on to “hold” status
Chris Perez Hold  
Jose Valverde Lose Been on the “lose” list all year 
Jon Broxton Lose Lost job on trade- “hit”
Greg Holland Lose Perhaps surprising but he walks too many
Ernesto Frieri Hold Like Greg Holland but with 2 more K/9, which makes a big difference
Scott Downs Lose out for season?
Glen Perkins Hold  
Jared Burton Hold  
Rafael Soriano Hold Only 2% HR/Fb and 85% LOB means he is a regression candidate
Ryan Cook Lose Improving skills even as he increases BS. K/BB and BPV still far off
Grant Balfour Lose Added in just in case but no share of the job yet
Tom Wilhelmsen Hold  
Fernando Rodney Hold Maybe the biggest surprise of the year at any position
Joe Nathan Hold  
Casey Janssen Hold  
JJ Putz Hold  
Craig Kimbrel Hold Best Closer in baseball as far as I am concerned
Carlos Marmol Hold Don’t ask me how, but he is still perfect in SV/SVO since his return to the role so maintains “hold” status
Aroldis Chapman Hold  
Rafael Betancourt Hold  
Kenley Jansen Hold was in danger earlier in the year but now is as rock-solid as anyone
Steve Cishek Lose Still struggling to get to the 2.5 K/BB minimum
Francisco Cordero (HOU) Lose Lost Job-“hit”
Wilton Lopez Hold 7.1 K rate is a bit low but otherwise smashes CIA minimums
Frank Francisco Lose Might get to “hold” status-surprisingly not far off.
Bobby Parnell Hold Lost Job-“Miss”
Francisco Rodriguez Lose Lost Job-“Hit”
John Axford Lose For all of his struggles he is a “lose” only because of a 2.4 K/BB so might be a surprise “hold” shortly
Jon Papelbon Hold  
Joel Hanrahan Hold Early season struggles are a distant memory
Huston Street Hold Showing his All-Star selection is no fluke.
Santiago Casilla Hold 0 saves since July 21 so status unclear. 6 BS is a ton
Sergio Romo Hold Lack of opportunities means we don’t know his role. CIA does not trust what managers say, only what they do.
Jason Motte Hold  
Tyler Clippard Hold Still a “hold” but getting closer to “lose” and had a rough week. 
     
     
Hits Misses  
Hector Santiago Sean Marshall  
Francisco Cordero (TOR) Steve Cishek  
Jordan Walden Dale Thayer  
Brian Fuentes Bobby Parnell  
Rafael Dolis    
Heath Bell    
Henry Rodriguez    
Carlos Marmol    
Javy Guerra    
Grant Balfour    
Brandon League    
Brian Fuentes second time    
Heath Bell second time    
John Axford    
Brett Myers    
Francisco Cordero (HOU)    
Francisco Rodriguez     
Jonathon Broxton    
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