Here are the latest results of the Closer Identifier Algorithm. There are a few changes from last week, and we have added a comments column to explain why.Â
During the year we may be tweaking the algorithm, and trying to get as high predictive accuracy as possible. Then, next year, I am going to challenge a bunch of fantasy analysts to a contest in making predictions against CIA.
One tweak we have made already is to apply it regardless of sample size. This change results in Jordan Walden becoming a “hit.” It missed on Sean Marshall, since Chapman is just so good.
Tune in to USA Today’s Fantasy Windup for the latest article tomorrow. I am considering how to incorporate, if at all, closers with extremely long leashes but subpar skills. And for Chris Perez lovers, he is veryÂ close to becoming a “hold” based on his much-improved K rate!
|Pitcher||CIA result||Reason for Change, if any|
|Alfredo Aceves||Lose||K/BB rate dipped below 2.5|
|Sean Marshall||Hold||Lost job|
|Steve Cishek||Lose||K rate dips below 2.5|
|Joel Hanrahan||Lose||BB rate 6.75, 1.5 K/BB and BPV|
|Santiago Casilla||Hold||K rate jumps over 7.0, BPV up over 80|
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