June 25, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

Added and Dropped: Oswalt Returns

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ROy Oswalt, SP, Texas Rangers

More than one veteran free agent held out for their perfect deal and ended up in forced retirement.  Jermaine Dye comes readily to mind.  Roy Oswalt managed to stick to his guns and signed with a division leader.  He made his first start with Texas last week.  The “Free Brandon Belt” movement won at least a temporary victory and with regular playing time he is in a hot streak.




Roy Oswalt:  He was activated Friday after four ramp up starts and earned a victory in his first game.  His velocity was consistent with last year’s numbers and with 110 pitches, 81 for strikes both his command and his stamina were noteworthy.  He is not some type of savior but he has a place in any rotation.


Drop for him:  Daniel Hudson, Mat Latos, Hiroki Kuroda

Don’t drop for him:  A.J. Burnett, Vance Worley, Anibal Sanchez


Brandon Belt:  He started San Francisco’s last thirteen games at first base as Aubrey Huff is on the DL with a sprained knee.  He is hitting .360/.484/.680 in June with a stellar 1.33 BB/K.  He is displaying the promise many saw and with four steals is contributing across all categories.  There are no guarantees when Huff returns, but for now owners should act with confidence.


Drop for him:  Logan Morrison, Michael Brantley, Carlos Lee

Don’t drop for him:  Yoenis Cespedes, Chris Young, Alex Gordon


Brandon Moss:  Like Josh Reddick he is another ex-Boston player finding his power stroke in Oakland.  To hit seven home runs in seventeen games one needs a high HR/FB ratio and Moss’ checks in at 35.0%.  He is striking out 32.8% of the time and needs to bring that closer to his Triple-A mark of 17.9% to avoid being a severe drain on batting average.


Drop for him:  Jeff Francoeur, Brennan Boesch, J.D. Martinez

Don’t’ drop for him:  Dayan Viciedo, Bryan LaHair, Lucas Duda


Ryan Cook:  He is earning saves in Oakland despite Saturday’s meltdown.  That was only the second outing in 31 that he allowed any runs.  His 9.38 K/9 is closer-worthy, but his 5.68 BB/9 is scary high.  Treat him as a bottom tier closer until he displays better control.


Drop for him:  Frank Francisco, Matt Capps, Carlos Marmol

Don’t drop for him:  Tyler Clippard, Brett Myers, Casey Janssen


Omar Infante, 2B, Miami Marlins



Omar Infante:  He hit his sixth home run on May 8 and his seventh on June 22.  To no one’s surprise he is not maintaining April’s power pace.  He is still rated eighth among second basemen on the strength of his first month but his time in the top ten is dwindling.  ZiPS projects five more home runs for the season.


Drop him for:  Rickie Weeks, Danny Espinosa, Gordon Beckham

Don’t drop him for:  Ryan Theriot, Robert Andino, Jamey Carroll


Justin Morneau:  He is cold in June with a line of .222/.291/.319 and an ISO under .100.  He has heavy platoon splits this year, smacking right-handed pitching for a .982 OPS but clocking in at only .321 against lefties.  An xBABIP formula believes he is one of the unluckiest hitters, so he has a chance to rebound.  Just do not count on him as a starting first baseman in a mixed league.


Drop him for:  Kendrys Morales, Kevin Youkilis, Adam LaRoche

Don’t drop him for:  Brandon Moss, Justin Smoak, Ike Davis


Micheal Brantley:  He is not slumping, hitting .295/.333/.423 in June with a .128 ISO that is a high for any month in 2012.  His strikeout rate is under 10% so he helps in batting average and scores a solid amount of runs.  He has nine steals in fourteen attempts and gets caught too much to post high SB numbers.  That takes away some of his fantasy appeal.


Drop him for:  Ben Revere, Cameron Maybin, Cody Ross

Don’t drop him for:  Dexter Fowler, Jon Jay, Raul Ibanez


Chad Billingsley:  He allowed ten runs and eighteen hits in his last two starts, driving his ERA from 3.57 to 4.15.  He is slightly unlucky with a .321 BABIP against and a 69.4% strand rate even though his K/9 is 8.31.  That is his best strikeout rate since 2008, and it is worth some inconsistent results if he maintains it.


Drop him for:  Doug Fister, Roy Oswalt, Jarrod Parker

Don’t drop him for:  Justin Masterson, Felix Doubront, Mark Buehrle



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