July 16, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

Added and Dropped: Trap the Puma

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Lance Berkman, 1B/OF, St. Louis Cardinals

Initially Lance Berkman’s knee injury was thought to be season and perhaps career threatening.  He was dropped in many leagues, rashly as it turns out because he started for the Cardinals Sunday night.  All the popular adds this week are veterans.  Has Heath Bell attempted his last save of the season?  Perhaps, and he is being tossed to the waiver wire in many leagues.




Lance Berkman:  He was activated Saturday and slid into the #5 spot in the order.  Hopefully first base is not very stressful on his lower body.  There is very little data to analyze this year, but he was sixth overall in wRC+ last season.  His OF eligibility makes him a no-brainer add.


Drop for him:  Carlso Lee, Tyler Colvin, Nick Swisher

Don’t drop for him:  Bryce Harper, Jason Heyward, Jay Bruce


Delmon Young:  He homered in each game from July 5 to 8 and has a .881 OPS this month.  Plate discipline remains an Achilles’ Heel though, his BB/K is an unacceptably low 0.15.  Nothing suggests he will be much better this year than he was last, in fact through Sunday his 88 wRC+ exactly matches 2011’s.


Drop for him:  Jon Jay, J.D. Martinez, Luke Scott

Don’t drop for him:  Jeff Francoeur, Norichika Aoki, Carlos Quentin


Mark Buehrle:  The veteran is having one of his better years, highlighted by a career best 1.34 BB/9.  The indicators peg his skill level closer to a 4.00 ERA than his current 3.13, but he has a long history of beating xFIP.  His 5.44 K/9 must be accounted for in fantasy, so do some number crunching and make sure the ERA/WHIP benefit exceeds the hit your team’s strikeout total will take.


Drop for him:  Tommy Milone, Jeremy Hellickson, Ricky Romero

Don’t drop for him:  Phil Hughes, Michael Fiers, Jon Niese


Rickie Weeks:  He is inching ever closer to the Mendoza Line, finishing Sunday’s action at .199.  July is the first month that his strikeout rate is under 25% and his ISO is over .200.  He is eighth among fantasy second basemen in the last 30 days.  There are enough positive signs to buy low, or grab for free.


Drop for him:  Omar Infante, Danny Espinosa, Dustin Ackley

Don’t drop for him:  Kelly Johnson, Neil Walker, Mike Aviles


Heath Bell, RP, Miami Marlins


Heath Bell:  He wrecked fantasy teams’ ratios all year and now indications are he will lose at least some save chances.  With a 5.05 BB/9 he really should not see any high leverage action.  His 5.8% swinging strike rate is tied for 300th among the 315 pitchers with at least 30 innings.


Drop him for:  Casey Janssen, Matt Capps, Sergio Romo

Don’t drop him for:  Brandon League, Kyle Farnsworth, Henry Rodriguez


Cody Ross:  He is having a good offensive season but could be pushed into a platoon when Carl Crawford returns.  His best platoon split is against lefties, he tees off on them for a 1.157 OPS and has seven home runs in 72 PA.  His outfield defense is also grading well, expect him to play in roughly 75% of Boston’s games.


Drop him for:  Logan Morrison, Chris Young, Michael Brantley

Don’t drop him for:  Garrett Jones, Dayan Viciedo, Nick Markakis


Carlos Quentin:  He is hitting .147/.250/.235 in July with one home run in the last ten games, and a recent 0-21 stretch.  This is the inevitable cool off after his blistering start.  He is a name to watch at the trade deadline, he could end up in a far more favorable offensive environment.


Drop him for:  Carl Crawford, Alfonso Soriano, Matt Joyce

Don’t drop him for:  Bryan LaHair, Brandon Belt, Lucas Duda


Chris Nelson:  He is losing his grip on shortstop to callup Josh Rutledge.  His strikeout rate is rising since May and he is not supplying much in the way of other skills.  He is 34th among second basemen (his ESPN-eligible position), so those owning him should only be in deep leagues.


Drop him for:  Jerry Hairston Jr., Jeff Keppinger, Logan Forsythe

Don’t drop him for:  Jamey Carroll, Brian Roberts, Tyler Greene




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