September 23, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

Added and Dropped: Reversal of Fortune

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Lance Lynn, P, St. Louis Cardinals

Lance Lynn was removed from the Cardinals’ rotation in late August and struggled in relief, losing all fantasy value.  He was reinstated on September 13 and erased any lingering doubts with two quality starts, allowing one run in 12.1 innings.  Although the Brewers are charging one of their breakout pitchers is having a rough final month.


Lance Lynn:  He is starting again because Jake Westbrook is on the shelf, likely shut down for the year.  He gets to face Houston again on Monday, then Washington next Sunday.  The Nationals will likely have clinched by then and could be resting some starters.  ESPN’s Forecaster rates him the #46 pitcher for the rest of the year.  Basically he is a must-own.

Drop for him:  Tommy Hanson, Jon Lester, Roy Halladay

Don’t drop for him:  Mike Minor, A.J. Burnett, Matt Harrison

Chris Nelson:  Fantasy’s #6 middle infielder over the last month is hitting .343 since the All Star Break.  He enjoyed a .377 BABIP in August and has an even higher .480 mark in September.  This month he also features a 0.13 BB/K.  His plate discipline is eroding but a hot player at a scarce position is valuable for the last ten games.

Drop for him:  Mike Aviles, Pedro Ciriaco, Dustin Ackley

Don’t drop for him:  Daniel Murphy, Kyle Seager, Kelly Johnson

Nate McLouth:  He is batting .298/.368/.440 in September while scoring fifteen runs in twenty games.  His .120 ISO is level with his recent seasons, so we are not seeing a return to peak form.  He stole all nine of his bases in the 44 games with Baltimore.  Remaining opponents Boston and Toronto in particular can be run on.

Drop for him:  Michael Brantley, Dewayne Wise, Matt Joyce

Don’t drop for him:  Cameron Maybin, Rajai Davis, David Murphy

Anthony Rizzo:  He was much more successful in 2012 than 2011 and will be drafted in all mixed leagues next year.  His OPS is higher than Adrian Gonzalez.  He is swinging aggressively (51.1%), but high walk rates in the minors indicate better discipline is present.

Drop for him:  Mark Trumbo, Corey Hart, Kevin Youkilis

Don’t drop for him:  Paul Goldschmidt, Ryan Howard, Freddie Freeman

Mike Fiers, SP, Milwaukee Brewers


Mike Fiers:  His last quality start was on August 29 and he was smoked in three of four since then.  He is well above his professional high for innings.  Velocity charts indicate a slight drag on his fastball, but he is not a hard thrower in the best of times.  His next scheduled start is at Cincinnati, after that he faces Houston.  Drop him, then consider streaming him on the 30th.


Drop him for:  Ross Detwiler, Bronson Arroyo, Marco Estrada
Don’t drop him for:  Kyle Kendrick, Ubaldo Jimenez, Bud Norris

Tyler Colvin:  The streaky outfielder has a .271 OBP in September with an awful 0.10 BB/K.  Colorado is at home until Friday before finishing on the road.  They are not scheduled to face any intimidating pitchers until Saturday (and Clayton Kershaw is anything but certain).  Hold him for power stats if there is nothing great on the waiver wire.

Drop him for:  Dexter Fowler, Alejandro De Aza, Trevor Plouffe

Don’t drop him for:  Mitch Moreland, Ryan Doumit, Ryan Ludwick


Garrett Jones:  At .236 with six runs and six RBI he is hitting poorly this month, like nearly all the Pirates.  He put up his best ISO in a full major league season but his BB/K sank.  His playing time looks safe so he will be on the fantasy radar next year.


Drop him for:  Carlos Gomez, Delmon Young, Cody Ross

Don’t drop him for:  Drew Stubbs, Carlos Lee, Colby Rasmus


Danny Espinosa:  He missed one game with shoulder soreness but played through the weekend.  His last home run was on September 6, but his .329 OBP this month is higher than this season’s .317.  He may be rested when Washington clinches, but play him until then.


Drop him for:  Jose Altuve, Erick Aybar, Chris Nelson

Don’t drop him for:  Omar Infante, Asdrubal Cabrera, Neil Walker






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