MLB
July 30, 2013 posted by Chuck Anderson

Added and Dropped: Playing the Callup Game

Added and Dropped:  Playing the Callup Game
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Prospect hounds pounced on two National League rookies who were promoted last week.  Many go to this well continuously in search of the next Evan Longoria or Mike Trout,but a glance at this week’s list of most dropped players reveals that not every touted rookie is a fantasy force right away.

 

Added

Junior Lake:  His scouting report in a nutshell:  He has tools for days but his aggressive approach may prevent offensive success.  He had a hot first week for the Cubs, stroking five extra base hits.  He is also swinging at over half of the pitches he sees.  Although he is playing in left field he carries shortstop eligibility.  That means he should be tracked in all leagues.

 

Drop for him:  Jose Iglesias, Josh Rutledge, Adeiny Hechavarria

Don’t drop for him:  Brad Miller, Alcides Escobar, Yunel Escobar

 

Jim Henderson:  He is earning saves again after the Francisco Rodriguez trade and is available in more leagues than Mark Melancon.  Henderson is prone to some bouts of wildness but his 10.24 K/9 goes a long way towards mitigating them.  His skills are not as sharp this year as they were in 2012, but a BABIP swing has lowered his ERA to 2.09.

 

Drop for him:  Kevin Gregg, Brad Ziegler, Francisco Rodriguez

Don’t drop for him:  Mark Melancon, Joaquin Benoit, Huston Street

 

Christian Yelich:  The Marlins are in full rebuild mode and promoted Yelich to gain major league experience, not to sit.  For all the talk of his five tool potential he has only nine home runs and five steals this year.  A near 25% strikeout rate in the minors shows vulnerability that big league pitchers can exploit.

 

Drop for him:  Josh Reddick, Lorenzo Cain, Dayan Viciedo

Don’t drop for him:  Chris Carter, Michael Saunders, Nate Schierholtz

 

Kelly Johnson:  He is hitting .327/.365/.612 in July but has seven DNPs as Tampa looks to maximize platoon advantages.  Some of his counting stats are very clustered.  He stole four bases in April, and three the rest of the year.  He had more May RBI that all other months combined.  His fly ball rate is 47.8%, up from his 38.2% career level.  He should reach twenty home runs by season’s end.  He has also become quite the fantasy Swiss Army knife, picking up eligibility at 2B, 3B, and OF.

 

Drop for him:  Marco Scutaro, Dan Uggla, Jedd Gyorko

Don’t drop for him:  Jed Lowrie, Aaron Hill, Nick Franklin

 

Leonys Martin, OF, Texas Rangers

Leonys Martin, OF, Texas Rangers

Dropped

 

Leonys Martin:  He is still hitting a respectable .277/.327/.410, but has only seven runs scored and two RBIs in July.  He received a brief trial batting second but was quickly moved back to the bottom of the order.  He was among the most added a month ago, and fantasy GMs should have questioned how he would maintain his power.  Sure enough, his ISO is .059 in July.

 

Drop him for:  Eric Young Jr., Melky Cabrera, Michael Brantley

Don’t drop him for:  Gerardo Parra, Rajai Davis, Michael Saunders

 

Anthony Rendon:  He is hitting .190/.238/.342 in July and his season BABIP is down 100 points from a month ago.  He is not picking up much run production in Washington’s sluggish offense.  His BB/K was 0.41 in the first half but has dropped to 0.17 in the second.  He is not on solid ground just yet.

 

Drop him for:  Neil Walker, Mark Ellis, Kelly Johnson

Don’t drop him for:  Gordon Beckham, Brian Roberts, Rickie Weeks

 

Ricky Nolasco:  He managed only sixteen innings in his last three starts, producing a 11/9 K/BB.  His ratio is 3.12 on the year with a 3.49 FIP and 3.81 xFIP.  The latest sample is too small to overreact to.  Dodger Stadium has also been extremely friendly to pitchers this season.

 

Drop him for:  Ivan Nova, Corey Kluber, Felix Doubront

Don’t drop him for:  Josh Johnson, Scott Feldman, Zack Wheeler

 

Kris Medlen:  He collected his first win and quality start since July 2 on Sunday night.  He is not as fortunate on batted balls this year and his skills have eroded as well.  His BABIP against rose from .261 to .316, his strand rate decreased from 85.0% to 72.9%.  His K/BB is down over half, from 5.22 to 2.76.  His ground ball rate is 44.2% while it peaked at 53.4% last season.  He is throwing more cutters to right handed hitters, at the expense of his sinker.  Fangraphs’ research suggests that is not the best approach.  He is still serviceable, but not a top of the rotation arm.

 

Drop him for:  Tony Cingrani, John Lackey, Ervin Santana

Don’t drop him for:  Jarrod Parker, Gerrit Cole, Travis Wood

 

 

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