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August 5, 2013 posted by Chuck Anderson

Added and Dropped: On the Mend

Added and Dropped:  On the Mend
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A group of players were recently activated from long stints on the Disabled List.  They return to action just in time for the stretch run of the fantasy season.  For those sweating the Biogenesis suspension announcements these hitters could be viable replacements.  Adam LaRoche is frustrating owners for roughly the 563rd time. LaRoche’s OPS is down over 100 points in 2013.

 

Added

 

Brett Lawrie:  He is riding a modest seven game hitting streak and batting .273/.349/.545 since the All Star Break.  His second half BB/K ratio is also up to 0.88 after posting a 0.24 K:BB in the first half .  Fangraphs notes his average fly ball distance significantly increased this year.  There are enough signs of a breakout here to buy in.

 

Drop for him:  Michael Young, Chase Headley, Mark Reynolds

Don’t drop for him:  David Freese, Kyle Seager, Josh Donaldson

 

Yonder Alonso:  He hit near .400 last week to raise his season’s average to .293.  His .104 ISO is very low for a first baseman, and he did not produce many runs even during his hot streak.  His fly ball rate is stuck in the mid-30%s with no indication of change.

 

Drop for him:  Paul Konerko, Ike Davis, Ryan Howard

Don’t drop for him:  Brandon Moss, Adam LaRoche, Mitch Moreland

 

Michael Morse:  This is a speculative add as he was finally activated on July 30, and since then he is 5-22 with a home run.  His strikeout rate is up and his BB/K is down since his career year in 2011.  On the positive side, he has one of the lowest GB/FB rates of his career, drastically reversing last year’s slide to 2.25.

 

Drop for him:  Ichiro Suzuki, Daniel Nava, Melky Cabrera

Don’t drop for him:  Nick Swisher, Evan Gattis, Michael Brantley

 

Juan Lagares:  His is hitting .325 since July 26 with four multi-hit games.  His walk rate was 4.9% in Triple-A and is 3.8% in 213 major league plate appearances.  He also owns a 49,1% swing rate.  He was not among Minor League Ball’s top twenty-five Mets prospects before 2013.  With no standout skill it is enticing to write Lagares off as just another guy.

 

Drop for him:  Lorenzo Cain, Juan Pierre, David Murphy

Don’t drop for him:  Jon Jay, Logan Morrison, Drew Stubbs

 

Adam LaRoche, 1B, Washington Nationals

Adam LaRoche, 1B, Washington Nationals

Dropped

 

Adam LaRoche:  The supposed second half monster is hitting .106/.176/.298 since the break.  The maddeningly inconsistent player is having a down year in BABIP (.267) and HR/FB (13.5%).  He is producing a negative run value against fastballs for only the second time in his ten-year career.  These samples are often too small to be predictive, but it does open speculation as to his bat speed.

 

Drop him for:  Justin Morneau, James Loney, Adam Lind

Don’t drop him for:  Todd Frazier, Brandon Moss, Garrett Jones

 

Daniel Nava:  He is hitting .190/.320/.286 in the second half and is going on paternity leave as of Monday.  Nava is ceding playing time to juggernaut Jonny Gomes and he has not recorded an at bat in eight of the last fifteen games.  His ISO has slipped each month; .211, .149, .120, .063, .143 (seven August at bats).

 

Drop him for:  Nate Schierholtz, Christian Yelich, Michael Saunders

Don’t drop him for:  Carlos Quentin, B.J. Upton, Jason Kubel

 

Raul Ibanez:  His last home run came on July 12 and he is hitting .151/.237/.189 in the second half.  All the statistical weaknesses pointed out last month are still in his profile.  His fly ball rate is also steadily high so another power surge could come.

 

Drop him for:  Eric Young Jr., Denard Span, Cody Ross

Don’t drop him for:  Gerardo Parra, Juan Lagares, Chris Carter

 

Francisco Rodriguez:  He has not closed since the trade and has allowed runs in three of his last four appearances with Baltimore.  His 2.20 ERA is still well under all indicators with a 3.18 SIERA being the most optimistic.  Allowing a 53.5% fly ball rate while pitching in Camden Yards is asking for gopher ball trouble.

 

Drop him for:  Tyler Clippard, Jose Cisnero, Ryan Cook

Don’t drop him for:  Heath Bell, Brandon League, Vinnie Pestano

 

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