MLB
May 1, 2013 posted by Chuck Anderson

Added and Dropped – MVDropped?

Added and Dropped – MVDropped?
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Justin Morneau was one of the game’s biggest offensive forces from 2006 – 2009, but the last three plus seasons have been a struggle.  He is far from peak form and fantasy owners are growing increasingly impatient.  Meanwhile, an unexpected catalyst in Boston’s hot start is gaining notoriety.

 

Added

 

Daniel Nava:  He was supposed to be a part time player, but he hasn’t missed a game since April 19th.  He is connecting well and currently sports a 29.6% line drive rate along with a 19.0% HR/FB%.  The switch hitter has a career 117 wRC+ when facing right handed pitching and a 77 against southpaws.  He is likely a short term solution, but a viable one.

 

Drop for him:  Colby Rasmus, Jon Jay, Alfonso Soriano

Don’t drop for him:  Lucas Duda, Gerardo Parra, Norichika Aoki

 

Lorenzo Cain:  The popular sleeper from 2012 is off to a hot start, reaching base nearly 40% of the time.  His BB/K has improved from 0.27 to 0.43, but other indicators are not as encouraging.  His ISO has dropped from .153 to .132 and his SB/CS ratio is only 2/3.  He is talented enough to merit consideration.

 

Drop for him:  Vernon Wells, Starling Marte, Jason Kubel

Don’t drop for him:  Brandon Moss, Alejandro de Aza, Brett Gardner

 

Yuniesky Betancourt:  He batted cleanup over the weekend, but that speaks more to Milwaukee’s lack of depth than anything else.  Betancourt’s BB/K is relatively unchanged, but his HR/FB is three times his career average.  It is hard to picture him being relevant in standard mixed leagues a month from now.

 

Drop for him:  Marco Scutaro, Dan Uggla, Emilio Bonifacio

Don’t drop for him:  Josh Rutledge, Rickie Weeks, Danny Espinosa

 

Patrick Corbin:  He is pitching over his head now, but there are some solid skills backing his results up.  He has a career 3.31 K/BB and 3.72 xFIP.  This year his first strike rate is 72.8%, up from 58.6%.  He belongs on a roster in any size league.

 

Drop for him:  Barry Zito, Brandon Morrow, Jeremy Hellickson

Don’t drop for him:  Jon Niese, Ervin Santana, Yovani Gallardo

 

Justin Morneau, 1B, Minnesota Twins

Justin Morneau, 1B, Minnesota Twins

Dropped

 

Justin Morneau:  He was a speculative pick in most mixed formats and the first few weeks do not hint at a return to MVP form.  His .105 ISO is on level with his horrid 2011 season and his current 98 wRC+ is 17th among first basemen.  Add up his runs and RBI and the total is only sixteen.  The Twins are 24th in runs scored.

 

Drop him for:  Yonder Alonso, Kendrys Morales, Ike Davis

Don’t drop him for:  Adam Dunn, Brandon Belt, Chris Carter

 

Jon Jay:  He hit an 0-21 skid recently and is sitting at .226/.248/.357.  He is being more aggressive, his 31.8% O-Swing% and 47.2% Swing% are above 2012 levels.  He has little power and is not the most successful base stealer.  When he is in a slump he is expendable.

 

Drop him for:  Domonic Brown, Chris Carter, Peter Bourjos

Don’t drop him for:  Chris Young, David Murphy, Drew Stubbs

 

Brett Anderson:  He has three consecutive losses without registering a quality start.  A sprained ankle will prevent him from taking his next turn.  His control is certainly off, his BB/9 stands at 4.94 and his first strike rate is 51.4%, off from his 57.6% career level.  He is still inducing ground balls, and all his indicators are under 4.00 despite a 7.23 ERA.  He is worth stashing if at all possible.

 

Drop him for:  Jose Quintana, Carlos Villanueva, Hisashi Iwakuma

Don’t drop him for:  Ryan Vogelsong, Wandy Rodriguez, Jose Fernandez

 

Kelvin Herrera:  He briefly held the closer’s job before succumbing to gopheritis.  He is a fly ball pitcher, and a 33.3% HR/FB will lead to a bloated 5.23 ERA and two meltdowns.  On the positive side he is striking out 14.81/9 and his SwStr% is 16.2%.  He is worth hanging onto in twelve team leagues or larger.

 

Drop him for:  Kevin Gregg, Jose Veras, Edward Mujica

Don’t drop him for:  Jose Valverde, Carlos Marmol, John Axford

 

 

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