MLB
May 28, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

Added and Dropped: Knuckleballers and Old Farts

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These are not the primary ingredients in fantasy goodness yet owners are flocking to add one of each.  In more strangeness an outfielder with a .641 OPS last year is among the most added while a 2011 All Star is being dropped.

 

Added

 

R.A. Dickey:  Bucking the notion that knuckleballers are inconsistent Dickey has seven straight quality starts.  Nine of his ten outings this year have earned a QS.  His 3.59 K/BB and 3.22 xFIP are strong enough to command respect.  Use him until his walk rate climbs.

 

Drop for him:  Gavin Floyd, Carlos Zambrano, Tim Hudson

Don’t drop for him:  Jason Vargas, Mat Latos, Ted Lilly

 

Andy Pettitte:  In his first three starts he has a 2-1 record with a 2.53 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 19/4 K/BB ratio.  He also faced three of the bottom ten offensive teams.  Velocity is down on all his pitches.  He is a matchup option while his health holds up.

 

Drop for him:  Daniel Bard, Ubaldo Jimenez, Matt Harrison

Don’t drop for him:  Ryan Vogelsong, Ervin Santana, Mark Buehrle

 

Jonathan Lucroy:  Hitting .393 in May has him up to .348 for 2012.  His .381 BABIP is revealing but before writing him off note that his ISO has essentially doubled.  There is no great increase in his HR/FB or fly ball rate, but he is hitting for more power.  He is halfway to last year’s RBI total in one third of the plate appearances.  He should be considered in all leagues.

 

Drop for him:  Jesus Montero, Alex Avila, A.J. Pierzynski

Don’t drop for him:  Miguel Montero, Carlos Ruiz, Matt Wieters

 

Dayan Viciedo:  The hefty Cuban was always advertised as a power hitter so his emergence is not a shock.  His hot streak provides a good opportunity to shop him, as there are warning signs that it will not last.  He has a 0.11 BB/K and swings at 36.8% of pitches outside the zone.  He has a 1.47 GB/FB, the home run binge is a result of a 26.3% HR/FB.

 

Drop for him:  Yonder Alonso, Logan Morrison, Delmon Young

Don’t drop for him:  Jason Kubel, Lucas Duda, Denard Span

 

Miguel Montero, C, Arizona Diamondbacks

Dropped

 

Miguel Montero: … and on the fifth day he nursed a groin strain owners in over 20% of ESPN leagues gave up and cut him.  According to the team there are no plans to put him on the DL.  He has been active and could play as soon as Monday.  He is off his pace of the last three years, but still a valuable catcher.

 

Drop him for:  Buster Posey, Carlos Santana, Brian McCann

Don’t drop him for:  J.P. Arencibia, A.J. Ellis, Jarrod Saltalamacchia

 

Gavin Floyd:  Like teammate John Danks he is having a disappointing season.  The numbers are particularly rough after being shelled three turns in a row.  He owns a tantalizing 3.18 K/BB, but has only one season in seven with an ERA under 4.00.  In today’s offensive climate that is unacceptable.

 

Drop him for:  Edwin Jackson, Edinson Volquez, Derek Holland

Don’t drop him for:  Hiroki Kuroda, Justin Masterson, Wade Miley

 

Drew Smyly:  He is the type of unknown commodity that owners will bail on at the first sign of trouble.  After a 1.23 ERA in April he has a 4.73 ERA in May and alarms are going off.  His monthly FIP and xFIP splits show little difference however, and his K/BB is actually better this month.  Worse pitchers are owned in most leagues.

 

Drop him for:  Max Scherzer, Matt Moore, Jason Hammel

Don’t drop him for:  Ricky Nolasco, Jake Westbrook, Chad Billingsley

 

Sean Marshall:  He lost his closing job to the hard throwing, hard driving Aroldis Chapman.  It was a justified move given Chapman’s skills but Marshall was far more unlucky than bad.  He has a 6.00 K/BB, 1.78 xFIP, and 14.6% swinging strike rate.  The issue is a .435 BABIP against.  Treat him as a top setup option going forward.

 

Drop him for:  Ernesto Frieri, Tyler Clippard, Steve Cishek

Don’t drop him for:  Henry Rodriguez, Brandon League, Grant Balfour

 

 

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