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April 9, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

Added and Dropped: Championship Form

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Kyle Lohse, SP, St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis is off to a 3-1 start and two Cardinals lead the most added list.  A former Cy Young winner who is on the comeback trail also makes an appearance.  Players with health issues are often the first on the chopping black and this week is no exception.

Added

Kyle Lohse:  He took a no-hit bid deep into his Opening Night start on national television and the reaction was predictable.  He has good control, walking less than 3.0 per nine in two of the last three years.  If his BABIP against cooperates his WHIP is an asset.  He has a 5.9 career K/9, and if given steady starts that will hurt players in standard mixed leagues.

Drop for him:  Jonathan Sanchez, Phil Hughes, Jair Jurrjens

Don’t drop for him:  John Danks, Bud Norris, Jhoulys Chacin

Rafael Furcal:  He is 10-19 in the first four games, a marked change from his .192/.222/.269 Spring Training.  He already has two steals, after only nine in 87 games last year.  With his checkered health history he cannot be viewed as a long-term fix for a fantasy team.

 

Drop for him:  Jason Bartlett, Marco Scutaro, Cliff Pennington

Don’t drop for him:  Zack Cozart, Alcides Escobar, Yunel Escobar

Johan Santana:  He pitched five shutout innings to open the Mets’ season.  His average fastball was just 87.7 mph, but there was a 10 mph separation between that and his changeup.  He induced a 15.5% swinging strike rate, and that is as positive an early sign as he can get.

Drop for him:  Mike Minor, Ted Lilly, Gavin Floyd

Don’t drop for him:  Derek Holland, Ryan Dempster, Ricky Nolasco

Austin Jackson:  Atop the Detroit order he could cross home plate many times.  He revamped his hitting mechanics in the off-season and the early returns (8-14) are extremely positive.  He is young and talented and a good player to take a speculative shot with.

Drop for him:  Alfonso Soriano, Colby Rasmus, Alex Rios

Don’t drop for him:  Cameron Maybin, Josh Willingham, Matt Joyce

Scott Baker, SP, Minnesota Twins

Dropped

Scott Baker:  Minnesota is assessing its options after Baker’s sore elbow required an MRI.  He has good skills, but health has been a problem.  He has one 200-inning season to his credit, and injuries have at least in part caused poor performance.  He is eligible to pitch on April 12, but fantasy owners should take a wait and see approach here.

Drop him for:  Jeff Samardzija, Chad Billingsley, Jon Niese

Don’t drop him for:  Carl Pavano, Rick Porcello, Bruce Chen

Allen Craig:  Knee surgery has him on the DL, but he could play in rehab games soon.  He is not assured regular at bats despite some bright offensive potential.  He is very versatile on the Yahoo platform, adding 2B eligibility to his standard OF spot.  That is useful in deeper leagues with daily lineup changes.

Drop him for:  Denard Span, Lorenzo Cain, J.D. Martinez

Don’t drop him for:  Raul Ibanez, Jason Bay, Dexter Fowler

Kenley Jansen:  Javy Guerra nailed down two saves and a closer change in LA is not imminent.  With so many ninth inning options emerging Jansen is quickly losing value in leagues that do not count holds.  It is always risky to draft premium setup men as they often become wasted picks.  While Jansen will rack up strikeouts he needs to earn saves to justify his price.

Drop him for:  Jon Broxton, Henry Rodriguez, Hector Santiago

Don’t drop him for:  Alfredo Aceves, Greg Holland, Matt Thornton

Geovany Soto:  His counting stats will suffer because Chicago is unlikely to field a strong offense.  His generally strong BB/K ratio collapsed last year, a symptom of his contact rate dropping over 5%.  Owners are still waiting for him to repeat his rookie year.

Drop him for:  Wilson Ramos, Ryan Doumit, Russell Martin

Don’t drop him for:  Jarrod Saltalamacchia, John Buck, Devin Mesoraco

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