July 9, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

Added and Dropped: Break Time

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Tyler Colvin, OF, Colorado Rockies

Three or four days off ostensibly benefits baseball’s veterans but many young players are slumping.  All four on the most dropped list have less than a full season’s big league experience.  Two outfielders gaining momentum and playing time have no interest in any respite, they headline this week’s adds.




Tyler Colvin:  He started every game from July 1 until the break and is flashing power reminiscent of his 20 HR 2010.  So far he launched thirteen home runs on 196 plate appearances while hitting .305.  He shares a .402 wOBA with Edwin Encarnacion.  A 0.19 BB/K and .347 BABIP show vulnerability in the surface numbers.  He is a shirt term addition.


Drop for him:  Jeff Francoeur, Dayan Viciedo, J.D. Martinez

Don’t drop for him:  Chris Davis,, Carlos Quentin, Matt Joyce


Justin Ruggiano:  He is taking over center field in Miami, starting the last ten games.  He is batting .390/.457/.756.  While in the Tampa organization he had consecutive 15/20 seasons in Triple-A Durham.  He has a .448 BABIP and 25.0% HR/FB so his pace will slow but NL-only players should definitely pounce.


Drop for him:  Denard Span, Jordan Schafer, Quintin Berry

Don’t drop him for:  Chris Young, Dexter Fowler, Torii Hunter


Jon Niese:  Many of the adds were probably streaming him for Sunday’s start.  In that case they got a rude seven earned run surprise but he is worth hanging onto.  He owns a 7.90 K/9 and 2.75 K/BB.  His 3.55 xFIP matches up well with his 3.73 ERA.  This is the third straight year his xFIP is under 4.00, his skills were present while his ERA lagged.


Drop for him:  Anibal Sanchez, Justin Masterson, Jeremy Hellickson

Don’t drop for him:  Ryan Dempster, Hiroki Kuroda, A.J. Burnett


Garrett Jones:  He went 9-16 in a recent series against Houston and has a .245 ISO after two seasons under .200.  He has a 3.7% BB% and a 0.16 K/BB while hacking at over 40% of pitches outside the zone.  Do not get carried away with the Pittsburgh resurgence and look for help elsewhere.


Drop for him:  Luke Scott, Ryan Raburn, Yonder Alonso

Don’t drop for him:  Michael Saunders, Brandon Moss, Jerry Hairston Jr.


Jesus Montero, DH, Seattle Mariners



Jesus Montero:  He is nursing a mild concussion from the bench but thanks to the All Star Break should avoid any DL time.  He is in a 5-45 slump and has a pedestrian .131 ISO and 0.21 BB/K.  Safeco seems to be claiming another victim, he has a 58 wRC+ at home and a 97 away.  Dynasty owners can look forward to next year when the fences possibly will come in.


Drop him for:  Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Wilin Rosario, Ryan Doumit

Don’t drop him for:  Alex Avila, Yasmani Grandal, Russel Martin


Trevor Bauer:  Those who dropped him missed out on by far his best start with Arizona.  He is a unique pitcher but is plagued by the issues that haunt most young hurlers.  Wildness and inefficiency can produce an ugly line, as they did in his first two games.  Those in redraft leagues can look elsewhere for more consistency.


Drop him for:  Bud Norris, Derek Holland, Wei-Yin Chen

Don’t drop him for :  Jair Jurrjens, Jake Westbrook, Mike Minor


Brandon Belt:  He is in a 1-14 mini-slump dropping his average to .255.  He has quality plate discipline, displayed in his 0.57 BB/K, albeit with a 24.9% K%.  His 7.7% HR/FB is half of what is was last year, and it is too soon to know for certain where it will stabilize.


Drop him for:  Norichika Aoki, Delmon Young, Michael Brantley

Don’t drop him for:  Garrett Jones, Raul Ibanez, Brennan Boesch


Will Middlebrooks:  He sat the last six games with a hamstring issue but like Montero should dodge a DL stint.  When he returns he has a secure place in the #2 scoring lineup in baseball.  I have pointed out his warning signs before, and they are still present.


Drop him for:  Chase Headley, Pedro Alvarez, Kevin Youkilis

Don’t drop him for:  Jed Lowrie, Kyle Seager, Chipper Jones






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