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June 30, 2014 posted by Chuck Anderson

2014 Fantasy Baseball Weekend Wrap: Historic Pitching

2014 Fantasy Baseball Weekend Wrap:  Historic Pitching
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Clayton Kershaw and Felix Hernandez each dominated in their starts Sunday. Kershaw’s FIP is now 1.48, Hernandez sits at 1.96. Only Pedro Martinez in 1999 and Dwight Gooden in 1984 have finished a season with FIPs under 2.00 since 1980.

 

Zach Putnam nailed down a save for the White Sox Saturday. His K/BB is only 2.27 and his ERA is a run under his FIP and xFIP because of a fortunate BABIP against. He will probably join the line of Chicago closers that have flamed out.

 

In theory Desmond Jennings (27 years, 7 months) is in his peak years. He still has yet to approach the productivity of his 2011 rookie season. He is barely ownable in standard mixed leagues.

 

Sonny Gray’s ERA does not indicate it, but he is pitching better in June than he did in May. Any IP cap will not be an issue for some time so stick with him.

 

Jeff Samardzija is another pitcher whose ERA is rising, but is maintaining his skills. In June he has a 2.95 xFIP and his best monthly K% – BB%.

 

Yan Gomes is proving last year was no fluke. He is top ten among catcher-eligible players. While his BABIP has dropped, as expected, he is hitting more line drives without dropping his fly ball rate.

 

Jose Quintana went into the Rogers Centre and threw seven shutout innings. His ERA sank to 3.44, matching his xFIP, and his FIP is 3.02. He can be started with confidence every time out.

 

Miguel Montero hit his first home run off a left-handed pitcher Saturday. He is only hitting .152/.174/.227 against them on the year. He fares far better off righties at .302/.397/.500.

 

Jason Grilli took the loss in his second game with the Angels. His save prospects appear dim.

 

San Diego’s Cuban signee Odrisamer Despaigne collected his second quality start Sunday. He is not recommended in mixed leagues until he shows a respectable K/BB ratio. He leans heavily on off speed pitches and may not be able to sustain success while fooling hitters like that.

 

Pedro Alvarez hit home run number thirteen Sunday. His ISO is down 65 points and his HR/FB has decreased over 10%. His fly ball rate is fine though, and his home runs are traveling farther this year. A homer binge could be around the corner.

 

Alex Cobb’s K/BB in June is only 2.17. He had some bad luck with a 63.5% strand rate, but he is hitting some bumps on the road to being a front of the rotation starter.

 

Ryan Braun’s stats in 2014 look much more like the 2013 player than the pre-positive test superstar. He is still a fine hitter and a top 20 fantasy outfielder, but not a franchise cornerstone.

 

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