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June 16, 2014 posted by Chuck Anderson

2014 Fantasy Baseball Weekend Wrap: Diet Crush

2014 Fantasy Baseball Weekend Wrap:  Diet Crush
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Chris Davis is not handling pitches on the outer third as well this year, possibly related to the oblique issue that sidelined him. In 2013 his SLG/P in that portion of the strike zone (high to low) was .218, .453, .170. This year the numbers are .111, .090, .155.

 

Evan Longoria’s fly ball rate is 10% under his career level. He may struggle to reach 20 HR despite Sunday’s long ball.

 

Speaking of struggling power hitters, Matt Holliday’s average distance on fly balls and home runs is sliding. In 2012 it was 305.15’ (8th overall). Last year it was 289.42’ (69th) and this season it is 285.43’ (91st). He still has good batting skills but the power is in decline.

 

Similarly, Nick Swisher’s fly ball distance was among the top 40 in 2012 and 2013 but in 2014 it is 276.45’, good for just 150th. His popup rate increased from 5.0% to 16.1%. His game winning home run Sunday was a nice moment, but he needs to reverse multiple trends to avoid a lost year.

 

Detroit shortstop Eugenio Suarez was the most added position player on Yahoo Sunday. He discovered some power this year, posting ISOs over .200 in Double and Triple-A. A 50% fly ball rate is not conducive to a high BABIP but owners can hardly be blamed for jumping on the hot streak.

 

In three June starts Danny Duffy allowed 11 hits, 3 ER with 5 BB and 18 K. He dominated the White Sox in US Cellular on Saturday. His fastball is the hardest among left-handed starting pitchers.

 

Jake McGee closed out Houston on Sunday. Check your waiver wire, he brings a 4.86 K/BB and 1.60 FIP.

 

Luis Valbuena hit his fourth home run with all four coming off right-handed pitchers. He is one of the best middle infield-eligible platoon options.

 

Hiroki Kuroda’s K/BB has fallen to 1.33 in June. Overall the metrics show some slip in skills, but the falloff is not so drastic that he cannot turn things around.

 

Curtis Granderson’s BB/K and ISO have increased each month. He has a 30% line drive rate in June and hit his third home run in thirteen games in Sunday.

 

Last year hitters chased 54.6% of the changeups Trevor Rosenthal threw outside the strike zone. This year they are only offering at 34.9%. That is a big reason why his walk rate escalated from 6.4% to 12.9%. Jason Motte, with his 2.16 ERA and 4.00 K/BB, is looming.

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