May 12, 2014 posted by Chuck Anderson

2014 Fantasy Baseball Weekend Wrap: Atlanta’s Ace

2014 Fantasy Baseball Weekend Wrap:  Atlanta’s Ace
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Ervin Santana is throwing his changeup more often in 2014.  It has more horizontal movement this year and is a very effective swing and miss pitch.  With a strikeout rate of 27.6% and a 14.5% swinging strike rate he is fourth in xFIP among starting pitchers.


Corey Dickerson had a big night on Saturday but a look at his game logs shows he is not a strong mixed league asset.  He has two DNPs in May along with three other games where he was a pinch hitter.  He could find his way into the weekly platoon planner soon.


Martin Perez gave up nineteen earned runs in his last three starts.  His ERA now sits above his xFIP but it is safe to say below average strikeout rates will be a problem for him.  Pending an MRI, his elbow could be the most pressing concern, however.


Victor Martinez has a 4.3% K% and .252 ISO.  Even if some of his HR (17.4% HR/FB) turn into doubles he is on pace for an extremely productive year.


Jimmy Rollins is the #4 SS on ESPN’s Player Rater.  Runs scored is his strongest category but he is also having a strong year in HR/FB.  It could turn for the worse, there are no huge red flags though.  He is giving a nice early return on a small investment.


Seattle’s Chris Young is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA but has a .179 BABIP against, a 1.13 K/BB and a 5.72 xFIP.  Hope one of your leagumates is shortsighted enough to pick him up.


Cody Allen got the tough outs in the eighth for Cleveland Sunday and Bryan Shaw cleaned things up in the ninth for a save.  Both pitchers have sub-2.00 FIPs and Shaw has been better at limiting walks and home runs.


Chris Archer’s BABIP against has jumped about 100 points leading to a 2.00 ERA increase even though he is allowing half as many home runs.  His ground ball/line drive heavy batted ball profile suggests a average to above average BABIP should be expected.  He is not a mixed league mainstay.


Dustin Ackley’s fly ball rate is up over 35% making last year’s 27.0% look like an outlier.  It offers some hope that he will develop more power.


Austin Jackson is one of nine hitters with a chase rate under 20%.  He is making better contact and his BB/K has improved from 0.40 to 0.83.  He is on pace for a much more productive 2014.





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