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April 8, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

2013 Fantasy Baseball Notes 4/8

2013 Fantasy Baseball Notes 4/8
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Happy Week Two! Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

 

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Sunday, April 7thth.

5 Good Nights

  • Will Middlebrooks: 4-5, 4 R, 3 HR, 4 RBI
  • Carlos Santana: 5-5, 3 R, HR, 3 RBI
  • Billy Butler: 2-4, R, HR, 7 RBI
  • Jon Lester: 7.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 6 K’s, W
  • Justin Masterson: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 8 K’s, W

Honorable Mention: Mark Reynolds, B.J. Upton, Adrian Gonzalez, Ian Kinsler, Mike Napoli, Alex Gordon, Jon Jay, Matt Carpenter, Brett Anderson, C.C. Sabathia, Adam Wainwright, Tim Hudson, Jhoulys Chacin, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Jose Fernandez

5 Bad Nights

  • Steve Cishek: 0.1 IP, 2 H, 2 ER
  • Fernando Rodney: 0.2 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, K
  • Matt Cain: 3.2 IP, 7 H, 9 ER, 2 BB, 2 Ks
  • Rickie Weeks: 0-5
  • Nick Swisher: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Franklin Gutierrez, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Zack Cozart, John Axford, Greg Holland, J.J. Putz, Lucas Harrell, David Price, R.A. Dickey, Cole Hamels, Stephen Strasburd, Jered Weaver, James Shields, Edison Volquez, Ian Kennedy, Yovani Gallardo,

 

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • As expected, Carlos Marmol lost the closer’s role in Chicago will be replaced by Kyuji Fujikawa. He’s probably been scooped up by now, but it’s worth taking a look on your waiver-wire just in case.
  • Freddie Freeman has been placed on the 15-day DL with an oblique straing, but from what it sounds like, he’ll be able to return in two weeks.
  • Aramis Ramirez has been placed on the DL with a knee strain and will miss at least the next two weeks.
  • The Detroit Tigers are still sticking with their closer committee, but manager Jim Leyland did say that he team would try to get Joaquin Benoit the ball in the ninth inning at the moment. He’s available in quite a few leagues, and is as good a bet as any waiver-wire reliever to get save opportunities for save-needy owners.
  • John Axford allowed a run for the third straight appearance and en route to blowing a save yesterday and it looks like now is the time to stash Jim Henderson if you have a roster spot.
  • Greg Holland blew a two run-lead yesterday on his way to allowing a run for the second straight game.  Manager Ned Yost gave Holland a vote of confidence on Monday morning, but it would be a wise move to stash Kelvim Herrera if you’re in a deeper league or if you’re desperately chasing saves.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Madison Bumgarner vs. Colorado Rockies

Alexi Ogando vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Mat Latos at St. Louis Cardinals

3 Down

Jeremy Hellickson at Texas Rangers

Wei-Yin Chen at Boston Red Sox

Wandy Rodriguez at Arizona Diamondbacks

Throwing Darts

Paul Maholm at Miami Marlins

Joe Saunders vs. Houston Astros

Clay Buchholz vs. Baltimore Orioles

 

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Carlos Gonzalez is 8-for-22 (.364) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Madison Bumgarner.
  • Carlos Beltran is 4-for-11 (.364) with three home runs in his career against today’s starter, Mat Latos.
  • Joe Mauer is 12-for-26 (.462) with one home run and seven RBI in his career against today’s starter, Ervin Santana.
Misses
  • Michael Bourn is 52-for-26 (.192) in his career against today’s starter, Hiroki Kuroda.
  • David Wright is 4-for-24 (.167) against today’s starter, Roy Halladay.
  • Nick Markakis is 4-for-31 (.129) in his career against today’s starter, Clay Buchholz.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

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