MLB
March 26, 2013 posted by Matthew Dewoskin

2013 Fantasy Baseball Leaders and Laggards: Hitters’ HR:FB Ratio Laggards Edition

2013 Fantasy Baseball Leaders and Laggards: Hitters’ HR:FB Ratio Laggards Edition
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Power matters in fantasy baseball now more than ever. The guys on this list could lead your team to glory in fantasy baseball, but it won’t be because of their prodigious power. These are the guys who make couch potatoes think they can one day play professional baseball (looking at you, Jamey Carroll) and astonish us with their wimpy arms and slight physiques.

If Ben Revere actually took PEDs, what would happen? Should Ben have to pee in cup immediately if he “busts out” and hits three homers in a season? Would the PED test be more interesting than the actual home run?

Some men lead and other men lag. These are the guys who make us think this professional baseball thing isn’t all that hard. These are the HR:FB ratio laggards.

1. Ben Revere

0.0%

2. Jamey Carroll

1.2%

3. Jemile Weeks

1.7%

4. Elvis Andrus

2.8%

5. Marco Scutaro

3.7%

6. Denard Span

3.7%

7. Jordan Pacheco

3.8%

8. Michael Brantley

4.2%

9. Alcides Escobar

4.3%

10. Rafael Furcal

4.4%

If there was ever an indicator that a hitter has absolutely zero power it’s a 0.0% HR:FB ratio. Ben Revere has a 0.0% ratio for all of his 1064 major league plate appearances. Even Juan Pierre looks at that and laughs.

Jamey Carroll’s 1.2% HR:FB ratio in 2012 was somehow under his 1.7% career mark. Jamey Carroll is not ownable in any format for any reason.

Poor Jemile Weeks somehow held on to the second base job in Oakland and suffered through a season of statistical variance. Sadly, Jemile has lost his job to Scott Sizemore. It’s going to take an injury for Weeks to get a shot at proving he’s not as bad as he was last year.

Remember the year that Elvis Andrus exploded for six homers? Man, 2009 was awesome! Elvis is useful in fantasy leagues, but he won’t help with power….ever. His career average is only 3.5%. A 2.8% isn’t ridiculous.

How did Marco Scutaro ever hit double digit homers? Twice. Well, he managed to post FB %’s of 43.6% and 41.9% in 2009 and 2010. Those are the two highest FB %’s of Scutaro’s career. He hit more homers because he was hitting a lot of fly balls. Scutaro has been hitting homers at basically the same rate as he did in 2009 and 2010, but his FB% has been a lot lower over the last few seasons and his home run totals are lower. Don’t expect double digit homers out of Scutaro unless he manages to put a lot more balls in the air.

Denard Span’s power basically disappeared once he moved to Target Field. He posted HR:FB ratios of 4.2%, 3.7% and 0.0% at home over the last three years. His HR:FB ratios on the road have been slightly better and it remains to seen what he’ll look like playing half his games in Nationals Park. He could be due for a bump in power. He once hit eight homers in a season, so we know he’s not a Ben Revere.

Jordan Pacheco could be a useful guy…if he had a job in 2013. He looks like he has a chance to be the 25th man on the Rockies. He does have catcher eligibility in some formats and somehow managed to get 500+ PA’s last year. The last time he hit double digit homers was 2009 and he was playing in Single-A. Pacheco is waiver wire fodder at this point.

Michael Brantley posted a 4.2% HR:FB ratio last year. His career average is 4.3%. Do you need us to draw you a map here? Brantley has never shown much power and he’s never cracked 15 steals let alone 20. He’s a fifth outfielder in a super deep league. That’s about his ceiling.

Alcides Escobar is basically in a similar situation as Elvis Andrus. Escobar is useful in fantasy baseball, but any power he lucks his way into should be considered a bonus. It’s really hard to believe that he hit five homers last year. He did post a 2.25 GB:FB ratio last year. That was his first time over 2.00. He knows where he’ll make his money and its not by hitting balls in the air.

Rafael Furcal is out for the 2013 season after undergoing Tommy John surgery. Sadly, fantasy GMs will no longer be able to use his last name as a creative nickname for their teams. You’ll have to wait for next year to call a team “Furcal Matter.”

 

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