Blog
April 9, 2013 posted by Nick Raducanu

2013 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 4/9

2013 Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 4/9
Print Friendly

Just like last year, I’ll be combing over box scores and scouring local beat writers’ reports each morning to help ensure  you have all the information you need in order to make the right decisions for your fantasy baseball lineup. So make sure you check back at this very spot for Hot/Cold Streaks, Injury News, Closer Updates, Daily Stats, and more so that you can stay one step ahead of the rest of your league!

An as always, make sure you’re getting your dose of daily fantasy baseball by playing the FP911 Challenge!

 

5 Good Nights, 5 Bad Nights

It’s a fact of life that every baseball player goes through hot and cold streaks. It’s important not to let those streaks influence a player’s fantasy baseball value too much, but it is important to be aware of how a player is doing within a short period of time (a seven-day sorter is always a good tool to use). A player’s short-term numbers can be the difference between winning and losing in daily games, and it can also make a huge difference in year-long leagues. For instance, if you can keep finding the second basemen on hot streaks and dropping them for another streaking second basemen once they get cold, you can piece together a very useful middle infielder-by-committee for your roto team. So before we get to today’s games, let’s take a spin through last night’s box scores to identify who had a good night and who had a bad night on Monday, April 8th.

5 Good Nights

  • Robinson Cano: 3-4, 4 R, 2 HR, 2 RBI
  • Justin Upton: 4-4, 2 R, HR, RBI
  • Travis Hafner: 2-3, 3 R, HR, 4 RBI
  • Paul Maholm: 7.0 IP, H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 7 K’s, W
  • Clay Buchholz: 7.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 8 Ks, W

Honorable Mention: Shin-Soo Choo, Daniel Nava, Brandon Phillips, Jay Bruce, Evan Longoria, Ervin Santana, Matt Harvey, Marco Estrada, Kevin Slowey, Joe Saunders, Mat Latos, Alexi Ogando

5 Bad Nights

  • Mitchell Boggs: 0.1 IP, 2 H, 6 ER, 4 BB
  • Roy Halladay: 4.0 IP, 6 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 3 Ks
  • Ubaldo Jimenez: 4.1 IP, 7 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 4 Ks
  • Rickie Weeks: 0-5
  • B.J. Upton: 0-5

Dishonorable Mention: Edwin Jackson, Trevor Cahill

 

Daily Grab Bag

Check back here for daily updates on injuries, closer battles, player news, and anything else that might affect your fantasy baseball team.

  • Jered Weaver will miss the next four to six weeks with a fractured (non-pitching) elbow after being hit by a line drive hit by Mitch Moreland on Sunday.
  • As alluded to yesterday, John Axford officially lost his closer job in Milwaukee and will be replaced by Jim Henderson for the time being. This may not be a permanent switch, so don’t make the mistake of overvaluing Henderson just yet.
  • David Freese (back) returned from the DL yesterday and went 0-3 in his season debut. Matt Carpenter will still hold value as he shifts to second base and adds even more position eligibility for his owners.
  • After leaving Sunday’s start with a blister, Yu Darvish will be unable to make his next start this Friday.
  • Jose Bautista (ankle) is expected to return to the Blue Jays lineup today.
  • With Jason Motte‘s return still unclear, Mitchell Boggs completely imploded last night (see above) and it may be a good idea to stash Trevor Rosenthal if you are chasing saves and have a roster spot.
  • Jeff Niemann (shoulder) is expected to undergo surgery Wednesday and will miss the rest of the 2013 season.
  • Corey Hart (knee) has been moved from the 15-day DL to the 60-day DL, which makes May 30th the earliest day that he could return to the Brewers lineup.

 

3 Up, 3 Down, and Throwing Darts

Starting and sitting the right pitchers on a day-to-day basis is often the linchpin of winning any fantasy baseball league – roto, head-to-head, daily, and otherwise. In order to give you some help picking your pitchers for today, I’ve gone through all of the stats that I could (pitchers’ career numbers vs. certain hitters and lineups, home/road splits, lefty/righty splits, etc) and have made nine recommendations. I’m not going to proclaim that I’ll get these 100% correct all season, but anyone that does should be sitting on an island that they own in the Pacific – not writing fantasy baseball articles. The goal here is to play the odds the entire season and slowly build your “win” percentage closer to 100% than to 50%.

Here are today’s recommendations with, 3 Up (three pitchers you shouldn’t think of sitting), 3 Down (three pitchers with some warning flags for today), and Throwing Darts (three pitchers that I’ll be taking a flier on):

3 Up

Kris Medlen at Miami Marlins

Cliff Lee vs. New York Mets

Gio Gonzalez vs. Chicago White Sox

3 Down

Lance Lynn vs. Cincinnati Reds

Jarrod Parker at Los Angeles Angels

James McDonald at Arizona Diamondbacks

Throwing Darts

Wily Peralta at Chicago Cubs

Brandon Maurer vs. Houston Astros

Josh Beckett at San Diego Padres

 

Swings and Misses

A hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher don’t always tell the whole story, but it can be informative if used correctly. I’m of the opinion that some information is better than none, and while there are other pieces to the puzzle of setting your daily lineup (splits, weather, etc.), I think a hitter’s career numbers against a pitcher can be very indicative of future success or failure. Some guys just own certain pitchers, and vice versa. As such, I’ve gone through today’s matchups and picked the best (and worst) matchups I could find. Anything less than 10-12 career at-bats is a relatively small sample-size (so take those with a grain of salt), but sometimes that’s all that is available.

Swings

  • Matt Kemp is 12-for-32 (.375) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Clayton Richard.
  • Adam LaRoche is 4-for-11 (.364) with two home runs in his career against today’s starter, Jake Peavy.
  • Matt Holliday is 14-for-44 (.318) with three home runs and eight RBI in his career against today’s starter, Bronson Arroyo.
Misses
  • Ike Davis is 1-for-11 (.091) in his career against today’s starter, Cliff Lee.
  • Paul Konerko is 1-for-12 (.1083) against today’s starter, Gio Gonzalez.
  • Troy Tulowitzki is 10-for-44 (.227) in his career against today’s starter, Tim Lincecum.

 

If you have any questions, comments, complaints, or have a suggestion on a feature you’d like to see covered in these daily reports, please contact me @FantasyTrade411 or email me at FantasyTrade411@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to respond.

 

Nick Raducanu finished 2011 ranked in the top 20 on ESPN’s Fantasy site, and is the mystery man behind the TraderX persona at www.FantasyTrade411.com. You can follow him and ask him for fantasy advice on Twitter @FantasyTrade411.

Latest posts by Nick Raducanu (Posts)

Share

You must be logged in to post a comment.