Fantasy Football
December 27, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

2012 Fantasy Football: Week 17 Inside the Numbers

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Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts

Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts

Andrew Luck has seven game winning drives in the fourth quarter or overtime.  This ties a league record since the 1970 merger.  Former Colt Peyton Manning most recently accomplished the feat in 2009.

 

Joe Flacco has a 66.3 QBR at home and a 31.0 QBR on the road.  The differential is the second highest in the league.  Baltimore is on the road this week.

 

Matt Stafford set an NFL record by accumulating 443 passing yards without throwing for a touchdown.

 

Calvin Johnson is on pace to be the fourth receiver since 1991 to be targeted at least 200 times.

 

Marshawn Lynch was Football Outsiders’ top running back for the third straight week.

 

Larry Fitzgerald caught four passes each from Ryan Lindley and Brian Hoyer.  His DYAR was higher while Lindley was under center.

 

Advanced NFL Stats includes sack yards in in quarterback YPA and has a flat penalty for interceptions.  Robert Griffin III (6.6), Peyton Manning (6.5), and Tom Brady (6.4) lead through fifteen games.  Two Chiefs, two Cardinals, and Mark Sanchez are the five under 4.0.

 

More from Advanced NFL Stats:  C.J. Spiller and Andre Brown are the only two running backs to have an over 50% success rate.  They also really like Detroit’s Joique Bell, he is third in Expected Points Added.

 

Four wide receivers gain over 10.0 yards per target:  Danario Alexander, Dez Bryant, Andre Johnson, and Calvin Johnson.  Randall Cobb leads in catch rate, followed by Brandon Stokley, Mario Manningham, and Percy Harvin.

 

There are some sleepers among the tight end leaders in yards per target.  Fred Davis is in first place at 10.5 ypt.  Third is Vernon Davis (9.2) even though his fantasy production is disappointing.  Dustin Keller is fourth (8.8) and Tony Moeaki is fifth (8.3).

 

Justin Blackmon was active in the red zone with four targets.  He is fantasy-worthy with Chad Henne under center.

 

James Jones has ten red zone touchdowns for the Packers.

 

Chris Johnson must be maddening to own.  He has 1187 rushing yards but was held under 30 in five separate games.

 

Andre Johnson will most likely finish in the top three in Yards per Route Run for the fifth straight year.

 

Denarius Moore has the second-highest drop rate in the league (15.25%).

 

Lining up in the slot does not stop Sidney Rice from running deep routes.  On 32 slot targets his average depth is 14.7 yards, highest in the league.

 

In their last five games Seattle played four top ten teams on the Defensive Hog Index.  They averaged over 4.0 yards per rush four times and gave up eight total sacks.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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