Fantasy Football
December 13, 2012 posted by Chuck Anderson

2012 Fantasy Football: Week 15 Inside the Numbers

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Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings

Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings

Rushing yards after contact have been calculated via video review for the last four years.  Adrian Peterson had the most in 2009 (729) and 2010 (649), and he leads this year, on pace for 1,024.  On Sunday he was particularly effective in the red zone, running five times for 22 yards and two touchdowns.  He did this without the benefit of quality quarterback play.  Minnesota was the first team this year to win with under 100 passing yards, no passing touchdowns, a sack, and an interception.

 

Considering using Jacksonville’s Montel Owens?  He was third among running backs in DYAR last week.  He broke three runs for 10+ yards on fourteen carries.

 

Matt Forte averaged 5.0 yards per carry in the first half of the season, only 3.5 in the second.

 

Tom Brady has eighteen touchdowns and no interceptions when facing extra rushers this season.

 

Matt Stafford’s fourth quarter QBR in Weeks 1-8 was 84.5.  From Week 9 on it is 18.4.  Statheads generally believe clutch play in baseball is a myth, will football wisdom trend in the same direction?

 

Half of Martellus Bennett’s eight targets came in the red zone.

 

Snap Count:  Jonathan Dwyer 24, Chris Rainey 21, Isaac Redman 17.  Since Rashard Mendenhall is suspended expect Pittsburgh to keep a similar backfield rotation.  There are no great fantasy options here.

 

Andrew Luck had a rough day (18.4 QBR) but he faced pressure on 23 of 39 dropbacks.  Better blocking will lead to better results.

 

The just-released Jason Babin is fourth overall on 3rd and 4th down pass rushing productivity.  Cameron Wake, Von Miller, and Lamarr Woodley lead the way.

 

Four wide receivers are gaining more than ten yards per target:  Demaryius Thomas, Denario Alexander, Pierre Garcon, and Vincent Jackson.  Interestingly, all have different quarterbacks than they did in 2011.

 

Three receivers have a catch rate over 75%:  Randall Cobb, Mario Manningham, and Brandon Stokley.

 

Brandon Marshall is the target of 38.8% of Chicago’s passes.  That is far and away the most in the league.  Reggie Wayne is second at 30.9%.

 

 

 

 

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